Bielefeld vs St Pauli Head to Head | Bundesliga 2

Match Report

Full Time

2 – 2

Match Events

Bielefeld

St Pauli

Jannik Rochelt (Jonas Thomas Kersken) ⚽

13'

20'

⚽ Taichi Hara (David Nemeth)

Marvin Mehlem 🟨

35'

47'

🟨 Tomoya Ando

Joel Grodowski ⚽

51'

56'

🟨 Eric Smith

65'

⚽ Abdoulie Ceesay (Arkadiusz Pyrka)

88'

🟨 Arkadiusz Pyrka

Maximilian Bauer 🟨

88'

Match Statistics

43%

Ball Possession

57%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Bielefeld (5-4-1)

J. Kersken

H. Koudossou

M. Bauer

S. Russo

M. Großer

A. Sicker

M. Momuluh

M. Mehlem

M. Wörl

J. Rochelt

J. Grodowski

St Pauli (3-4-2-1)

B. Voll

D. Nemeth

M. Mathisen

T. Ando

A. Pyrka

M. Rasmussen

E. Smith

L. Oppie

B. Hrgota

T. Hara

M. Kaars

Player Ratings

Bielefeld

J. GrodowskiF7.7

M. WörlM6.9

J. RocheltM6.8

St Pauli

Abdoulie CeesayF7.9

T. HaraM7.3

M. MathisenD7.1

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Bielefeld edge attack and defence, St Pauli edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Closely matched

HomeAway

Attack

Bielefeld stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Bielefeld slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

St Pauli stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Bielefeld win

Latest market chance 42.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

42.9% → 42.8%

−0.1 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.4% → 26.0%

−0.4 pts

St Pauli win

Latest market chance 31.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

30.8% → 31.2%

+0.4 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

3 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Bielefeld

Draw

St Pauli

12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Bielefeld

St Pauli

Season Profile

This season

10th

League Position

16th

Games Played

1.00

Points/Game

0.67

1.67

Goals/Game

1.33

2.00

Conceded/Game

1.67

13.3

Shots/Game

14.2

4.0

Shots on Target

5.0

Home vs Away Context

Bielefeld at home (3 matches) vs St Pauli away (3 matches)

1.67

Points/Game

1.00

2.33

Goals/Game

1.67

1.33

Conceded/Game

1.67

33%

Win Rate

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Bielefeld

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

4 of these matches from last season.

2.6

Goals scored
per match

0.8

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

St Pauli

Away form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 away

4 of these matches from last season.

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Bielefeld Wins

Draws

St Pauli Wins

Avg Goals

2.4

2023-04-292022-2023

St Pauli2 – 1Bielefeld

2022-10-222022-2023

Bielefeld2 – 0St Pauli

2019-12-212019-2020

St Pauli3 – 0Bielefeld

2019-07-292019-2020

Bielefeld1 – 1St Pauli

2019-04-142018-2019

St Pauli1 – 1Bielefeld

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Bielefeld

St Pauli

Recent Scoring Profile

1.90

Goals scored / game

1.60

1.80

Goals conceded / game

1.50

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

8/10

1/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

79.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

58.4%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

37.7%

BTTSBoth teams score

61.4%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 57.0%→Latest 58.2%+1.2 pts

Slight move towards 3+ goals

10 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 60.9%→Latest 61.3%+0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

9 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

7 of Bielefeld's 10 matches and 7 of St Pauli's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Bielefeld vs St Pauli Head to Head, Prediction