Darmstadt vs Cottbus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.18
Draw
4.02
Away Win
2.93
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Darmstadt edge defence, Cottbus edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cottbus stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cottbus stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Darmstadt slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Cottbus have recorded just one victory and a solitary draw in their last five away outings, while Darmstadt have secured two wins alongside two draws in their last five home fixtures. Darmstadt have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Cottbus rate stronger on form and attack, while Darmstadt hold a slight advantage in defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Darmstadt losing run
50%
Cottbus yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Darmstadt win
Latest market chance 43.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.7% → 43.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.8% → 23.8%
±0.0 pts
Cottbus win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.5% → 32.5%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DarmstadtCottbus
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.33
0.83
Goals/Game
2.33
2.17
Conceded/Game
2.17
11.3
Shots/Game
17.5
3.0
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Darmstadt at home (3 matches) vs Cottbus away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
2.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Darmstadt
Home form
D
L
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cottbus
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Darmstadt and Cottbus.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Darmstadtvs
Cottbus
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.4%→Latest 67.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.5%→Latest 68.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Darmstadt's 10 matches and 4 of Cottbus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?