Karlsruhe vs Nurnberg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BBBank Wildpark
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.91
Draw
3.97
Away Win
2.26
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Karlsruhe
Nurnberg
Marcel Franke 🟨
21'
30'
⚽ Mohamed Alì Zoma (Javier Fernández)
Deniz Ofli 🟨
38'
67'
🟨 Adam Markhiev
Noel Eichinger 🟨
72'
Match Statistics ?
32%
Ball Possession
68%
9
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Karlsruhe (4-4-2)
H. Bernat
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
M. Franke
C. Kobald
D. Ofli
L. Egloff
D. H. Zor
M. Wanitzek
V. Bergh
S. Fukuda
Louey Ben Farhat
Nurnberg (4-2-3-1)
J. Reichert
T. Janisch
A. Kalogeropoulos
F. Otto
E. Porstner
A. Marhiev
J. Fernandez
J. Justvan
F. Becker
M. Zoma
P. Scobel
Player Ratings ?
Karlsruhe
D. H. ZorM6.8
H. BernatG6.7
S. TrémouletD6.6
Nurnberg
M. ZomaM8.2
J. FernandezM7.7
F. OttoD7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nurnberg
Nurnberg rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Nurnberg a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nurnberg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nurnberg have secured just a solitary victory in their last five outings away from home, while Karlsruhe have suffered three defeats across their last five matches at this venue. Karlsruhe have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Nurnberg rate stronger on form, attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Nurnberg won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 13 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Karlsruhe's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Karlsruhe's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Nurnberg's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nurnberg a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Nurnberg
Nurnberg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nurnberg win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Karlsruhe win
Latest market chance 33.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
35.2% → 33.1%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.5% → 24.7%
−0.8 pts
Nurnberg win
Latest market chance 42.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
39.3% → 42.3%
+3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Karlsruhe
Draw
Nurnberg
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KarlsruheNurnberg
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
2nd
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
2.60
1.20
Goals/Game
3.00
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.20
17.3
Shots/Game
16.7
5.8
Shots on Target
6.7
Home vs Away Context
Karlsruhe at home (4 matches) vs Nurnberg away (3 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
2.33
1.00
Goals/Game
2.33
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
25%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Karlsruhe
Home form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nurnberg
Away form
D
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Karlsruhe Wins
3
Draws
0
Nurnberg Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
Nurnberg5 – 1Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe2 – 1Nurnberg
Nurnberg2 – 1Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe3 – 2Nurnberg
Nurnberg0 – 1Karlsruhe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Karlsruhevs
Nurnberg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.40
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.7%→Latest 68.7%+4.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.4%→Latest 70.1%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Karlsruhe's 10 matches and 5 of Nurnberg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?