Osnabruck vs Hertha Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.24
Draw
3.96
Away Win
2.11
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Osnabruck
Hertha
10'
🟨 Josip Brekalo
37'
🟨 Linus Jasper Gechter
Adrian Beck 🟨
50'
50'
⚽ Josip Brekalo
Robin Fabinski 🟨
55'
Robin Meißner •
60'
70'
⚽ Kevin Sessa
Jonathan Gómez (Adrian Beck) ⚽
82'
90+2'
⚽ Farid Alfa-Ruprecht (Soufian gouram)
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
14
Total Shots
22
7
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Osnabruck (3-4-2-1)
J. Krumrey
R. Fabinski
J. Müller
N. Wiemann
P. Kammerbauer
F. Wagner
B. Jacobsen
J. Gómez
A. Beck
L. Münst
R. Meißner
Hertha (4-2-3-1)
M. Gersbeck
J. Eitschberger
L. Gechter
N. Kolbe
M. Pedersen
P. Klemens
K. Sessa
J. Þorsteinsson
O. Adewumi
J. Brekalo
S. Grønning
Player Ratings ?
Osnabruck
J. GómezM8.0
J. KrumreyG6.6
A. BeckM6.5
Hertha
K. SessaM8.0
M. GersbeckG7.8
Farid Alfa-RuprechtF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Osnabruck edge head-to-head, Hertha edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hertha slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hertha slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Osnabruck stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hertha have secured two away victories and a draw from their last five outings, while Osnabruck have won twice but suffered three defeats at home over the same span. Osnabruck have found the net in just two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Hertha rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while Osnabruck rate stronger on head-to-head. Osnabruck won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 May 2024, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Hertha's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.25 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Osnabruck's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points, while Hertha's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Hertha unbeaten run
50%
Hertha yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Hertha
Hertha's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hertha win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Osnabruck win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.1% → 29.6%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.0%
−0.6 pts
Hertha win
Latest market chance 45.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
44.2% → 45.3%
+1.1 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OsnabruckHertha
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
2nd
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
1.75
Goals/Game
3.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
14.3
Shots/Game
19.2
5.0
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Osnabruck at home (3 matches) vs Hertha away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.33
Goals/Game
2.75
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.25
33%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Osnabruck
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hertha
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Osnabruck Wins
2
Draws
1
Hertha Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Osnabruck2 – 1Hertha
Hertha0 – 0Osnabruck
Hertha4 – 0Osnabruck
Osnabruck2 – 0Hertha
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Osnabruckvs
Hertha
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 62.1%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 64.1%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Osnabruck's 10 matches and 6 of Hertha's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?