Wolfsburg vs Cottbus Head to Head, Prediction
Volkswagen Arena
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.28
Draw
5.46
Away Win
10.48
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 4
Match Events ?
Wolfsburg
Cottbus
R. Glatzel ⚽ (P)
4'
6'
🟨 King Manu
Vini Souza (F. Reese) ⚽
25'
R. Glatzel (A. Bernhardsson) ⚽
34'
45'
⚽ L. Erlein
49'
⚽ K. Manu (L. Michelbrink)
Elvis Rexhbeçaj 🟨
62'
67'
⚽ (P) T. Cigerci
Mathys Angely 🟨
70'
M. Svanberg (M. Angely) ⚽
79'
84'
🟨 Tolcay Ciğerci
Mathys Angely 🟨
88'
Mathys Angely 🟥
88'
90+4'
🟨 Moritz Hannemann
90+2'
🟨 Dmytro Bogdanov
90'
⚽ D. Bogdanov (C. Kinsombi)
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
19
Total Shots
21
7
Shots on Goal
9
4
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Wolfsburg (4-3-3)
J. Zielinski
K. Fischer
H. Wahl
M. Angely
J. Maehle
M. Arnold
Vini Souza
E. Rexhbecaj
A. Bernhardsson
R. Glatzel
F. Reese
Cottbus (4-2-3-1)
M. Lotka
L. Erlein
K. Manu
F. Doumbia
A. Borgmann
L. Michelbrink
L. Bittencourt
H. Rorig
L. Copado
J. Butler
T. Cigerci
Player Ratings ?
Wolfsburg
Robert GlatzelF8.7
Mattias SvanbergM7.9
Alexander BernhardssonF7.7
Cottbus
Tolcay CiğerciF8.2
King ManuD7.5
Christian KinsombiM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Wolfsburg stronger
Wolfsburg rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Wolfsburg stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wolfsburg win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 72.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
68.5% → 72.7%
+4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
19.4% → 17.3%
−2.1 pts
Cottbus win
Latest market chance 10.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
12.1% → 10.0%
−2.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wolfsburg
Draw
Cottbus
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolfsburgCottbus
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
14th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
18.7
Shots/Game
17.5
6.3
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Wolfsburg at home (3 matches) vs Cottbus away (3 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
3.00
Goals/Game
2.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolfsburg
Home form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cottbus
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolfsburg Wins
3
Draws
0
Cottbus Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Cottbus2 – 0Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg3 – 0Cottbus
Wolfsburg3 – 0Cottbus
Cottbus1 – 2Wolfsburg
Cottbus3 – 2Wolfsburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolfsburgvs
Cottbus
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.4%→Latest 65.7%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 53.6%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Wolfsburg's 10 matches and 7 of Cottbus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?