Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Volkswagen Arena
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.82
Away Win
5.35
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Wolfsburg
Darmstadt
Alexander Bernhardsson (Fabian Reese) ⚽
14'
29'
⚽ Milan Smit (Kai Klefisch)
38'
🟨 Raoul Petretta
Robert Glatzel (Alexander Bernhardsson) ⚽
40'
Muhammed Damar 🟨
42'
51'
🟨 Nicolas Verkooijen
Alexander Bernhardsson (Fabian Reese) ⚽
61'
Muhammed Damar (Joakim Maehle) ⚽
66'
Saël Kumbedi Nseke 🟨
70'
Robert Glatzel (Fabian Reese) ⚽
79'
Pharrell Hensel 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
19
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
5
19
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
6
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Wolfsburg (4-3-3)
J. Zieliński
S. Kumbedi
H. Wahl
Cleiton
J. Mæhle
M. Damar
Vinicius Souza
Y. Gerhardt
A. Bernhardsson
R. Glatzel
F. Reese
Darmstadt (4-2-3-1)
M. Schuhen
C. Lannert
P. Pfeiffer
A. Vukotić
R. Petretta
C. Sickinger
K. Klefisch
N. Verkooijen
M. Smit
N. Weißhaupt
Lee Ho-Jae
Player Ratings ?
Wolfsburg
A. BernhardssonF9.5
F. ReeseF9.0
R. GlatzelF8.9
Darmstadt
K. KlefischM7.2
M. SmitM7.0
C. SickingerM6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Wolfsburg a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Darmstadt arrive at this fixture with a poor run of form away from home, having recorded just one draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Wolfsburg have remained unbeaten at home during the same period with two wins and three draws from five matches. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches yet have also kept a clean sheet on two occasions during that period. Wolfsburg rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Wolfsburg won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 4 May 2024, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Darmstadt's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Wolfsburg's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Darmstadt's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Wolfsburg a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Darmstadt losing run
56%
Wolfsburg yellow cards after 75'
1
Darmstadt points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wolfsburg win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 60.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
58.2% → 60.8%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.6% → 20.7%
−0.9 pts
Darmstadt win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.1% → 18.6%
−1.5 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolfsburgDarmstadt
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
16th
5
Games Played
5
1.60
Points/Game
0.80
2.00
Goals/Game
0.80
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
18.7
Shots/Game
11.3
6.3
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Wolfsburg at home (3 matches) vs Darmstadt away (3 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.00
3.00
Goals/Game
0.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
3.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolfsburg
Home form
D
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Darmstadt
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolfsburg Wins
3
Draws
1
Darmstadt Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Wolfsburg3 – 0Darmstadt
Darmstadt0 – 1Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg1 – 0Darmstadt
Darmstadt3 – 1Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg1 – 1Darmstadt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolfsburgvs
Darmstadt
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 65.5%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 62.5%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Wolfsburg's 10 matches and 5 of Darmstadt's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?