Ein Frankfurt vs Freiburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Deutsche Bank Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.44
Draw
3.96
Away Win
2.70
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Ein Frankfurt
Freiburg
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike 🟨
9'
Younes Ebnoutalib (Ritsu Doan) ⚽
10'
34'
⚽ Derry Lionel Scherhant (Jordy Makengo)
Jonathan Burkardt (Robin Koch) ⚽
36'
37'
🟨 Mio Backhaus
48'
⚽ Yuito Suzuki (Derry Lionel Scherhant)
Oscar Winther Hojlund 🟨
56'
88'
🟨 Lucas Höler
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
22
3
Shots on Goal
7
3
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Ein Frankfurt (4-4-2)
N. Atubolu
Elias Baum
R. Koch
L. Brassier
K. Kosugi
R. Dōan
N. Aséko Nkili
R. Onyedika
C. Uzun
Y. Ebnoutalib
J. Burkardt
Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
M. Backhaus
P. Treu
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
Y. Engelhardt
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant
I. Matanović
Player Ratings ?
Ein Frankfurt
Y. EbnoutalibF8.1
J. BurkardtF7.9
R. KochD6.9
Freiburg
D. ScherhantM8.9
Y. SuzukiM8.0
J. BesteM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ein Frankfurt edge head-to-head, Freiburg edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ein Frankfurt stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Freiburg have secured three victories from their last five away outings, whereas Ein Frankfurt have picked up only two draws and suffered three defeats in their corresponding home fixtures over the same span. Ein Frankfurt have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. The hosts face two confirmed absences and one player listed as doubtful ahead of the match. Freiburg rate stronger on form and defence, while Ein Frankfurt rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Ein Frankfurt won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 1 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Freiburg's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Ein Frankfurt's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Freiburg's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Freiburg
Freiburg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Freiburg win as more likely than it did 8 days ago. Ein Frankfurt remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 39.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
41.2% → 39.5%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 24.8%
−0.6 pts
Freiburg win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.4% → 35.7%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ein Frankfurt
Draw
Freiburg
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ein FrankfurtFreiburg
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
2nd
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
3.00
2.33
Goals/Game
3.33
2.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
13.8
Shots/Game
19.0
4.8
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Ein Frankfurt at home (2 matches) vs Freiburg away (2 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ein Frankfurt
Home form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Freiburg
Away form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ein Frankfurt Wins
3
Draws
2
Freiburg Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.2
Ein Frankfurt2 – 0Freiburg
Freiburg2 – 2Ein Frankfurt
Freiburg1 – 3Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt4 – 1Freiburg
Freiburg3 – 3Ein Frankfurt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ein Frankfurtvs
Freiburg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
2.20
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 65.7%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.4%→Latest 67.1%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Ein Frankfurt's 10 matches and 7 of Freiburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?