Elversberg vs Bayern Munich Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
14.79
Draw
8.88
Away Win
1.16
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Elversberg
Bayern Munich
Francis Onyeka 🟨
7'
26'
⚽ Lennart Karl (Harry Kane)
Maurice Krattenmacher (Noah Darvich) ⚽
61'
Felix Keidel 🟨
63'
72'
⚽ Harry Kane (Aleksandar Pavlović)
Match Statistics ?
28%
Ball Possession
72%
5
Total Shots
28
1
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
9
9
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Elversberg (4-2-3-1)
N. Kristof
J. Gyamerah
L. Pinckert
M. Rohr
L. Günther
F. Keidel
Ł. Poręba
L. Petkov
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
William Cole Campbell
D. Mokwa
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1)
J. Urbig
J. Stanišić
D. Upamecano
Kim Min-Jae
N. Brown
A. Pavlović
T. Bischof
L. Karl
M. Olise
I. Saibari
H. Kane
Player Ratings ?
Elversberg
M. KrattenmacherM7.6
N. KristofG6.8
L. PinckertD6.6
Bayern Munich
H. KaneF9.0
L. KarlM7.9
A. PavlovićM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Bayern Munich have enjoyed a robust away run with four wins and just a single draw from their last five outings, while Elversberg remain unbeaten at home in their solitary recent match. Elversberg have found the net in one of their last one matches at home but have not kept a single clean sheet during that same sample. Two players are unavailable for Elversberg, whereas Bayern Munich face the absence of one individual alongside one player listed as doubtful. Elversberg rate stronger on form. Over the 9-day comparison window, Elversberg's implied win probability has risen by 0.1 percentage points, while Bayern Munich's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 9 days ago. Bayern Munich remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Elversberg win
Latest market chance 6.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
6.4% → 6.5%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
12.7% → 11.1%
−1.6 pts
Bayern Munich win
Latest market chance 82.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
80.9% → 82.4%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Elversberg
Draw
Bayern Munich
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ElversbergBayern Munich
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
5th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
2.00
3.50
Goals/Game
2.50
2.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
10.2
Shots/Game
21.8
4.5
Shots on Target
8.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Elversberg at home (2 matches) vs Bayern Munich away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
2.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Elversberg
Home form
W
Unbeaten in last 1 at home
Limited history — only 1 home fixture on record for Elversberg.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/1
Scored in
last 1
last 1
0/1
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bayern Munich
Away form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Elversberg and Bayern Munich.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Elversbergvs
Bayern Munich
Recent Scoring Profile
3.50
Goals scored / game
3.40
2.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
2/2
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
2/2
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/2
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.9%→Latest 82.8%+5.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 63.1%+6.3 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Elversberg have only 2 completed fixtures on record.
8 of Bayern Munich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?