Hoffenheim vs Dortmund Head to Head, Prediction
SNP Arena
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.97
Draw
3.84
Away Win
2.29
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Ozan Kabak 🟨
40'
Albian Hajdari 🟨
45+2'
L. Avdullahu (V. Coufal) ⚽
45'
T. Lemperle (A. Daghim) ⚽
54'
61'
⚽ S. Guirassy (W. Anton)
Wouter Burger 🟨
63'
66'
⚽ F. Silva (S. Guirassy)
76'
🟨 Luca Reggiani
78'
🟨 Maximilian Beier
Andrej Kramarić 🟨
80'
86'
⚽ (OG) A. Hajdari
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
7
4
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Hoffenheim (4-4-2)
O. Baumann
V. Coufal
O. Kabak
A. Hajdari
M. Rots
P. Wimmer
L. Avdullahu
W. Burger
A. Daghim
A. Hlozek
T. Lemperle
Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
G. Kobel
J. Gadou
W. Anton
F. Mane
J. Ryerson
J. Bellingham
F. Nmecha
D. Svensson
K. Karetsas
M. Beier
S. Guirassy
Player Ratings ?
Hoffenheim
Wouter BurgerM7.5
Leon AvdullahuM7.3
Oliver BaumannG7.2
Dortmund
Julian RyersonM8.2
Serhou GuirassyF7.9
Waldemar AntonD7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dortmund edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dortmund slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hoffenheim win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Dortmund remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hoffenheim win
Latest market chance 32.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.5% → 32.6%
−3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.6% → 25.1%
+0.5 pts
Dortmund win
Latest market chance 42.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.9% → 42.2%
+3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hoffenheim
Draw
Dortmund
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HoffenheimDortmund
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
5th
1
Games Played
1
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
19.0
Shots/Game
14.5
5.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Hoffenheim at home (2 matches) vs Dortmund away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hoffenheim
Home form
D
L
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dortmund
Away form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hoffenheim Wins
2
Draws
1
Dortmund Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.4
Hoffenheim2 – 1Dortmund
Dortmund2 – 0Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim2 – 3Dortmund
Dortmund1 – 1Hoffenheim
Dortmund2 – 3Hoffenheim
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hoffenheimvs
Dortmund
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.20
Goals conceded / game
0.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.2%→Latest 64.1%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.5%→Latest 66.3%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
9 of Hoffenheim's 10 matches and 9 of Dortmund's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?