Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Mewa Arena
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.95
Draw
4.10
Away Win
3.60
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Mainz
Ein Frankfurt
9'
⚽ Can Yilmaz Uzun (Jonathan Burkardt)
41'
🟨 Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
Nadiem Amiri •
43'
45+1'
⚽ Jonathan Burkardt (Jeremiaha Maluze)
60'
⚽ Can Yilmaz Uzun (Mario Götze)
70'
🟨 Mario Götze
Phillip Tietz (Otto Ruoppi) ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
18
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Mainz (3-1-4-2)
R. Zentner
S. Posch
F. Gruber
K. Potulski
K. Sano
A. Caci
Lee Jae-Sung
N. Amiri
P. Mwene
S. Becker
P. Tietz
Ein Frankfurt (3-4-2-1)
N. Atubolu
J. Maluze
R. Koch
L. Brassier
Elias Baum
N. Aséko Nkili
R. Onyedika
K. Kosugi
R. Dōan
C. Uzun
J. Burkardt
Player Ratings ?
Mainz
P. TietzF7.6
R. KönigsdörfferF6.8
N. AmiriM6.6
Ein Frankfurt
C. UzunM9.1
J. BurkardtF9.0
N. AtuboluG7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Mainz
Mainz rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Mainz a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ein Frankfurt have secured just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Mainz have managed only a solitary victory in that same span at home. Mainz have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that period. Mainz rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Mainz won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 22 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Ein Frankfurt's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Mainz's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Ein Frankfurt's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Mainz a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Mainz
Mainz's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Mainz win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mainz win
Latest market chance 49.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.9% → 49.0%
+4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.4% → 24.0%
−1.4 pts
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 27.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.7% → 27.0%
−2.7 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MainzEin Frankfurt
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
14th
2
Games Played
2
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.50
Goals/Game
2.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
3.50
18.2
Shots/Game
13.8
6.2
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Mainz at home (2 matches) vs Ein Frankfurt away (2 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.00
0.50
Goals/Game
3.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mainz
Home form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ein Frankfurt
Away form
L
W
D
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mainz Wins
2
Draws
1
Ein Frankfurt Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Mainz2 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt1 – 0Mainz
Mainz1 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt1 – 3Mainz
Ein Frankfurt1 – 0Mainz
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mainzvs
Ein Frankfurt
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 63.9%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 64.6%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Mainz's 10 matches and 8 of Ein Frankfurt's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?