M'gladbach vs Elversberg Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Borussia-Park
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.88
Draw
3.93
Away Win
3.99
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 4
Match Events ?
M'gladbach
Elversberg
H. Bolin ⚽
11'
29'
⚽ D. Mokwa Ntusu (L. Pinckert)
H. Bolin (F. Honorat) ⚽
44'
Hugo Bolin 🟨
45+2'
J. Scally (F. Honorat) ⚽
56'
66'
⚽ M. Krattenmacher
Mathieu Nguefack  🟨
79'
80'
⚽ F. Keidel
Kevin Diks 🟨
89'
90'
🟨 Amara Condé
90'
⚽ M. Krattenmacher (N. Futkeu)
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
25
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
10
13
Corner Kicks
4
18
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
5
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
M'gladbach (4-2-3-1)
M. Nicolas
J. Scally
K. Itakura
K. Diks
L. Ullrich
P. Sander
M. Nguefack
F. Honorat
H. Bolin
W. Mohya
T. Kleindienst
Elversberg (4-2-3-1)
N. Kristof
J. Gyamerah
L. Pinckert
M. Rohr
L. Gunther
F. Keidel
L. Poreba
L. Petkov
F. Onyeka
C. Campbell
D. Mokwa Ntusu
Player Ratings ?
M'gladbach
Hugo BolinM9.2
Franck HonoratM7.6
Joe ScallyD7.2
Elversberg
Maurice KrattenmacherM8.6
David MokwaF7.6
Nicolas KristofG7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from M'gladbach
M'gladbach's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a M'gladbach win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
M'gladbach win
Latest market chance 50.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
58.5% → 50.5%
−8.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.1% → 24.7%
+1.6 pts
Elversberg win
Latest market chance 24.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
18.4% → 24.9%
+6.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+8+40−4Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
M'gladbach
Draw
Elversberg
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
M'gladbach
Elversberg
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
6th
1
Games Played
1
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
0.00
Goals/Game
3.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
16.5
Shots/Game
10.2
4.2
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
M'gladbach at home (2 matches) vs Elversberg away (2 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
2.00
3.00
Goals/Game
2.00
4.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Elversberg have no away fixtures on record yet.
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between M'gladbach and Elversberg.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
M'gladbach
vs
Elversberg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
3.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/1
4/10
Both Teams Scored
1/1
3/10
Failed to Score
0/1
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.6%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.0%→Latest 60.3%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 61.3%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Elversberg have only 1 completed fixtures on record.
9 of M'gladbach's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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