Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Head to Head, Prediction
Veltins Arena
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
13.99
Draw
9.74
Away Win
1.15
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Schalke 04
Bayern Munich
Eric Ebimbe 🟨
31'
35'
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
72'
🟨 Aleksandar Pavlović
Nikola Katić 🟨
73'
Match Statistics ?
17%
Ball Possession
83%
4
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
5
0
Corner Kicks
11
5
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Schalke 04 (5-4-1)
L. Karius
J. Dina Ebimbe
T. Becker
N. Katic
H. Kurucay
R. Gosens
D. Ljubicic
S. El-Faouzi
S. Tanaka
A. Aouchiche
M. Sylla
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1)
M. Neuer
K. Laimer
D. Upamecano
J. Tah
A. Davies
J. Kimmich
A. Pavlovic
L. Karl
N. Brown
L. Diaz
I. Saibari
Player Ratings ?
Schalke 04
Hasan KuruçayD8.3
Loris KariusG7.9
Timo BeckerD7.5
Bayern Munich
Joshua KimmichM8.7
Jonathan TahD8.6
Dayot UpamecanoD7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Bayern Munich a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Bayern Munich win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Schalke 04 win
Latest market chance 7.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
10.8% → 7.2%
−3.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
15.9% → 11.0%
−4.9 pts
Bayern Munich win
Latest market chance 81.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
73.3% → 81.8%
+8.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Schalke 04
Draw
Bayern Munich
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Schalke 04Bayern Munich
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
1st
1
Games Played
1
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
0.00
Goals/Game
5.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.8
Shots/Game
21.8
4.2
Shots on Target
8.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Schalke 04 at home (2 matches) vs Bayern Munich away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
0.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
0.50
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Schalke 04
Home form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bayern Munich
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
5 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Schalke 04 Wins
0
Draws
0
Bayern Munich Wins
5
Avg Goals
5.0
Bayern Munich6 – 0Schalke 04
Schalke 040 – 2Bayern Munich
Schalke 040 – 4Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich8 – 0Schalke 04
Bayern Munich5 – 0Schalke 04
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Schalke 04vs
Bayern Munich
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
3.50
2.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.2%→Latest 77.8%+7.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 55.7%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
9 of Schalke 04's 10 matches and 9 of Bayern Munich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?