Stuttgart vs FC Koln Head to Head, Prediction
MHPArena
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.46
Draw
5.17
Away Win
6.35
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Stuttgart
FC Koln
Bilal El Khannouss (Josha Vagnoman) ⚽
39'
41'
🟨 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
Maximilian Mittelstädt 🟨
51'
Grischa Prömel (Maximilian Mittelstädt) ⚽
60'
Ermedin Demirović (Finn Jeltsch) ⚽
75'
81'
⚽ Marius Bülter
85'
🟨 Tom Krauß
86'
🟨 Alessio Castro-Montes
Josha Vagnoman ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
22
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Goal
5
10
Corner Kicks
8
5
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Stuttgart (4-4-2)
F. Bredlow
J. Vagnoman
Finn Jeltsch
J. Chabot
M. Mittelstädt
B. El Khannouss
G. Prömel
A. Stiller
C. Führich
D. Pejčinović
D. Undav
FC Koln (4-3-3)
M. Schwäbe
A. Castro-Montes
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
L. Lochoshvili
G. Mensah
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
T. Krauß
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
J. Thielmann
R. Ache
L. Maina
Player Ratings ?
Stuttgart
J. VagnomanD8.3
G. PrömelM8.2
B. El KhannoussM8.0
FC Koln
M. MooreF7.2
Paul Michael Junior Okon-EngstlerM6.7
J. ThielmannF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stuttgart
Stuttgart rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stuttgart a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stuttgart slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards FC Koln
FC Koln's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a FC Koln win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Stuttgart remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stuttgart win
Latest market chance 66.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
66.6% → 66.4%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.9% → 18.3%
−0.6 pts
FC Koln win
Latest market chance 15.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
14.4% → 15.4%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stuttgart
Draw
FC Koln
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StuttgartFC Koln
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
7th
1
Games Played
1
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.00
Goals/Game
3.00
5.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.2
Shots/Game
17.2
5.5
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Stuttgart at home (2 matches) vs FC Koln away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
3.00
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stuttgart
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
FC Koln
Away form
D
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stuttgart Wins
4
Draws
1
FC Koln Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Stuttgart3 – 1FC Koln
FC Koln1 – 2Stuttgart
Stuttgart1 – 1FC Koln
FC Koln0 – 2Stuttgart
Stuttgart3 – 0FC Koln
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stuttgartvs
FC Koln
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.7%→Latest 71.0%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 64.5%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
9 of Stuttgart's 10 matches and 9 of FC Koln's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?