Werder Bremen vs Augsburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Weser-Stadion
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.41
Draw
3.89
Away Win
2.76
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Werder Bremen
Augsburg
5'
🟨 Han-Noah Massengo
18'
⚽ Robin Fellhauer (Fabian Rieder)
Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares 🟨
27'
58'
⚽ Calvin Marc Brackelmann (Alexis Claude-Maurice)
Marco Grüll 🟨
60'
Marco Grüll (Iván San José Cantalejo) ⚽
66'
73'
🟨 M. Baum
77'
🟨 Hennes Behrens
Niclas Füllkrug ⚽
86'
Mitchell Weiser (Marco Grüll) ⚽
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
7
11
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Werder Bremen (3-4-3)
K. Hein
A. Pieper
M. Friedl
O. Deman
Arthur
L. Reis
Y. Regeer
M. Grüll
Chuky San José
N. Füllkrug
E. Dinkçi
Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
F. Dahmen
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
C. Matsima
C. Brackelmann
M. Wolf
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens
R. Fellhauer
M. Kömür
M. Gregoritsch
Player Ratings ?
Werder Bremen
N. FüllkrugF8.2
M. GrüllM7.8
Chuky San JoséF7.7
Augsburg
R. FellhauerM6.8
F. RiederM6.7
C. BrackelmannD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Augsburg
Augsburg rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Augsburg a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Augsburg have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Werder Bremen have recorded two wins in that same span at home. Werder Bremen have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those five fixtures. Five players are unavailable for Werder Bremen, with one more listed as doubtful, whereas Augsburg face six confirmed absences without any doubtful names on their books. Augsburg rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Augsburg won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Werder Bremen's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Werder Bremen's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Augsburg's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Augsburg a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Augsburg
Augsburg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Augsburg win as more likely than it did 8 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Werder Bremen remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Werder Bremen win
Latest market chance 40.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.0% → 40.2%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 24.9%
−0.1 pts
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
34.0% → 35.0%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Werder Bremen
Draw
Augsburg
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Werder BremenAugsburg
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
4th
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
2.33
1.67
Goals/Game
3.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.8
Shots/Game
14.0
6.5
Shots on Target
7.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Werder Bremen at home (2 matches) vs Augsburg away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
3.00
Goals/Game
3.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Werder Bremen
Home form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Augsburg
Away form
D
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Werder Bremen Wins
1
Draws
2
Augsburg Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Werder Bremen1 – 3Augsburg
Augsburg0 – 0Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen0 – 2Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 2Werder Bremen
Augsburg0 – 3Werder Bremen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Werder Bremenvs
Augsburg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 67.7%+5.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 68.8%+4.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Werder Bremen's 10 matches and 7 of Augsburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?