Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Head to Head, Prediction
Weserstadion
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.38
Draw
4.32
Away Win
1.74
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
E. Dinkci (Chuki) ⚽
4'
Chuki 🟨
23'
N. Fullkrug (M. Grull) ⚽
68'
M. Grull ⚽
80'
90'
⚽ R. Baku (A. Maksimovic)
Match Statistics ?
29%
Ball Possession
71%
12
Total Shots
19
7
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
7
13
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
K. Hein
Arthur
A. Pieper
M. Friedl
O. Deman
L. Reis
Y. Regeer
E. Dinkci
Chuki
M. Grull
N. Fullkrug
RB Leipzig (4-3-3)
M. Vandevoordt
R. Baku
W. Orban
M. Esteve
D. Raum
N. El Aynaoui
N. Seiwald
E. Banzuzi
J. Bakayoko
C. Nkunku
A. Nusa
Player Ratings ?
Werder Bremen
Marco GrüllM8.9
Amos PieperD7.9
Olivier DemanD7.9
RB Leipzig
Ridle BakuD7.3
Maxime EstèveD7.3
Andrija MaksimovićM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving RB Leipzig an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Defence
RB Leipzig slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a RB Leipzig win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Werder Bremen win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
29.0% → 22.3%
−6.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.9% → 22.6%
−2.3 pts
RB Leipzig win
Latest market chance 55.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
46.1% → 55.1%
+9.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Werder Bremen
Draw
RB Leipzig
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
4th
1
Games Played
1
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.00
Goals/Game
3.00
4.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
13.8
Shots/Game
18.8
6.5
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Werder Bremen at home (2 matches) vs RB Leipzig away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
3.00
Goals/Game
0.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Werder Bremen
Home form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
RB Leipzig
Away form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Werder Bremen Wins
0
Draws
2
RB Leipzig Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Werder Bremen1 – 2RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 – 0Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen0 – 0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig4 – 2Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig1 – 1Werder Bremen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Werder Bremenvs
RB Leipzig
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 63.8%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.9%→Latest 63.2%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
9 of Werder Bremen's 10 matches and 9 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?