Bolton vs West Ham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Tue 08 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.10
Draw
4.29
Away Win
1.65
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Bolton
West Ham
7'
🟨 Ollie Scarles
13'
⚽ Jarrod Bowen
Ethan Erhahon ⚽
18'
Ruben Rodrigues ⚽ (P)
27'
31'
⚽ Konstantinos Mavropanos (Arne Engels)
62'
🟨 Konstantinos Mavropanos
77'
⚽ Jarrod Bowen (Joël Veltman)
78'
🟨 Jarrod Bowen
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Bolton (4-2-3-1)
G. Bazunu
Gaizka Larrazabal
E. Toal
C. Forino-Joseph
M. Conway
J. Sheehan
E. Erhahon
S. Iling-Junior
Ruben Rodrigues
K. Dong
S. Dalby
West Ham (4-4-1-1)
M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman
O. Scarles
J. Bowen
D. Mukasa
A. Engels
E. Austbö
M. Kanté
Pablo
Player Ratings ?
Bolton
E. ErhahonM7.7
C. Forino-JosephD6.9
T. GaleF6.7
West Ham
J. BowenM7.8
A. EngelsM7.7
M. SolomonF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
West Ham
West Ham rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Bolton edge head-to-head, giving West Ham a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bolton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Ham arrive at the ground with an encouraging record of two wins and three draws from their last five away fixtures, while Bolton have suffered four defeats in their corresponding home outings during the same period. At home, Bolton have scored in just one of their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in that identical sample. Two players are confirmed out for Bolton, whereas West Ham face one certain absence alongside two others listed as doubtful. West Ham rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Bolton rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2011. Over the 4-day comparison window, Bolton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while West Ham's implied win probability has risen by 2.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives West Ham a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards West Ham
West Ham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a West Ham win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bolton win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.1% → 19.6%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.5% → 22.0%
−1.5 pts
West Ham win
Latest market chance 58.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
55.4% → 58.3%
+2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bolton
Draw
West Ham
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BoltonWest Ham
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
9th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
1.60
0.80
Goals/Game
2.20
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.40
12.2
Shots/Game
15.8
4.8
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Bolton at home (4 matches) vs West Ham away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.25
Goals/Game
2.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.75
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bolton
Home form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
West Ham
Away form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bolton Wins
5
Draws
0
West Ham Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
Bolton3 – 0West Ham
West Ham1 – 3Bolton
West Ham1 – 2Bolton
Bolton3 – 1West Ham
Bolton2 – 1West Ham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boltonvs
West Ham
Recent Scoring Profile
0.40
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
8/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 60.9%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 59.0%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Bolton's 10 matches and 5 of West Ham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?