Charlton vs QPR Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Valley
Wed 09 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.16
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.34
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Charlton
QPR
45+3'
🟨 Julien Stéphan
74'
🟨 Kealey Adamson
76'
🟨 Jake Clarke-Salter
Match Statistics ?
28%
Ball Possession
72%
9
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
12
8
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Charlton (4-2-3-1)
A. Okonkwo
I. Mesík
L. Jones
Tyler Bindon
A. Bell
C. Coventry
O. Skipp
K. Ahearne-Grant
S. Carey
T. Campbell
M. Leaburn
QPR (4-4-2)
P. Charles
K. Adamson
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
T. Lamptey
H. Vale
G. Kamara
N. Madsen
P. Smyth
A. Lloyd
R. Burrell
Player Ratings ?
Charlton
K. Ahearne-GrantM7.1
M. LeaburnF7.0
L. JonesD6.9
QPR
R. EdwardsD7.4
N. MadsenM7.2
H. ValeM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charlton edge recent form, QPR edge attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
QPR slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charlton have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while QPR have recorded two wins in their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. Charton have scored in each of their last five home matches but have kept only a single clean sheet in that identical sequence. Charlton face significant selection issues with five players unavailable and three listed as doubtful, whereas QPR have just one player out and another under doubt. Charlton rate stronger on form, while QPR rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 6 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from QPR
QPR's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a QPR win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charlton win
Latest market chance 30.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.9% → 30.4%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.6%
+0.4 pts
QPR win
Latest market chance 40.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.9% → 40.9%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Charlton
Draw
QPR
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharltonQPR
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
5th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.20
Goals/Game
1.40
1.40
Conceded/Game
0.80
9.6
Shots/Game
16.9
2.6
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Charlton at home (4 matches) vs QPR away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.50
0.25
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charlton
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
QPR
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charlton Wins
1
Draws
2
QPR Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Charlton0 – 0QPR
QPR3 – 1Charlton
Charlton1 – 0QPR
QPR2 – 2Charlton
QPR2 – 1Charlton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charltonvs
QPR
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 49.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 54.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Charlton's 10 matches and 5 of QPR's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?