Lincoln vs Southampton Head to Head | Championship

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 1

Match Events

Lincoln

Southampton

Conor McGrandles 🟨

43'

44'

⚽ Welington (J. Ward-Prowse)

Ivan Varfolomeev 🟨

56'

Freddie Draper 🟨

75'

M. Ladefoged (R. Hackett-Fairchild) ⚽

87'

Match Statistics

39%

Ball Possession

61%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Lincoln (3-4-2-1)

G. Wickens

D. Elerewe

S. Bradley

R. Towler

A. Coubis

I. Varfolomeev

C. McGrandles

A. Reach

B. House

R. Street

F. Draper

Southampton (4-2-3-1)

D. Peretz

J. Bree

J. Stephens

K. Schlotterbeck

Welington

F. Downes

J. Ward-Prowse

K. Matsuki

F. Azaz

L. Scienza

C. Larin

Player Ratings

Lincoln

Reeco Hackett-FairchildM8.5

Robert StreetF7.7

Conor McGrandlesM7.5

Southampton

Daniel PeretzG8.2

WelingtonD8.2

James Ward-ProwseM7.6

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift towards Lincoln

Lincoln's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Lincoln win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Southampton remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Lincoln win

Latest market chance 23.0%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

21.9% → 23.0%

+1.1 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.8%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

25.6% → 24.8%

−0.8 pts

Southampton win

Latest market chance 52.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

52.5% → 52.2%

−0.3 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

5 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Lincoln

Draw

Southampton

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Lincoln

Southampton

Season Profile

This season

18th

League Position

4th

Games Played

1.00

Points/Game

1.75

0.75

Goals/Game

2.50

1.25

Conceded/Game

1.25

12.6

Shots/Game

16.4

3.0

Shots on Target

4.9

Home vs Away Context

Lincoln at home (4 matches) vs Southampton away (4 matches)

0.50

Points/Game

0.50

0.75

Goals/Game

1.00

1.50

Conceded/Game

1.50

Win Rate

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Lincoln

Home form

Winless in last 2 at home

Limited history — only 2 home fixtures on record for Lincoln.

0.5

Goals scored
per match

1.5

Goals conceded
per match

1/2

Scored in
last 2

1/2

Clean
sheets

Southampton

Away form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Southampton.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Lincoln

Southampton

Recent Scoring Profile

0.75

Goals scored / game

2.10

1.25

Goals conceded / game

1.20

2/4

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

2/4

Both Teams Scored

9/10

1/4

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

76.9%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

55.8%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

35.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

57.0%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 52.6%→Latest 55.5%+2.9 pts

Notable move towards 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 54.5%→Latest 57.0%+2.5 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Lincoln have only 4 completed fixtures on record.

6 of Southampton's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Lincoln vs Southampton Head to Head, Prediction