Millwall vs Wrexham Head to Head, Prediction
The Den
Wed 02 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.31
Draw
3.44
Away Win
3.17
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Millwall
Wrexham
C. De Norre 🟨
18'
28'
⚽ (OG) Z. Sturge
36'
🟨 B. Whiteman
52'
⚽ K. Moore (J. Windass)
L. Dykes 🟨
56'
69'
⚽ J. Ekomie (D. Imray)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Millwall
Millwall rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Millwall a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Millwall stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Millwall stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Millwall stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Millwall stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Millwall
Millwall's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Millwall win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Millwall win
Latest market chance 41.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
44.4% → 41.8%
−2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.5%
+0.3 pts
Wrexham win
Latest market chance 29.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 29.8%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Millwall
Draw
Wrexham
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MillwallWrexham
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
22nd
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
0.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
15.0
Shots/Game
10.9
4.1
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Millwall at home (4 matches) vs Wrexham away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.25
2.25
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.75
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Millwall
Home form
L
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wrexham
Away form
D
L
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Millwall Wins
2
Draws
2
Wrexham Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Wrexham0 – 2Millwall
Millwall0 – 2Wrexham
Wrexham1 – 1Millwall
Millwall1 – 0Wrexham
Wrexham1 – 1Millwall
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Millwallvs
Wrexham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.3%→Latest 49.0%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 54.1%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Millwall's 10 matches and 7 of Wrexham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?