Portsmouth vs Blackburn Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Fratton Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.18
Draw
3.50
Away Win
3.40
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Portsmouth
Blackburn
Zak Swanson ⚽
4'
11'
⚽ Oladapo Afolayan (Harry Pickering)
Marlon Pack 🟨
40'
47'
🟨 Tom Atcheson
56'
⚽ Ryoya Morishita (Oladapo Afolayan)
Colby·Bishop (Ryan Kavuma-McQueen) ⚽
74'
Zak Swanson 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
22
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
5
9
Corner Kicks
7
16
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
D. Bielica
Z. Swanson
M. Dia
C. Shaughnessy
J. Meghoma
M. Pack
R. Shein
A. Kamara
A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen
T. Shade
Blackburn (5-4-1)
B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu
Tom Atcheson
H. Carter
S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering
R. Morishita
Sam Morsy
Kristi Montgomery
O. Afolayan
T. Cantwell
Player Ratings ?
Portsmouth
C. BishopF8.0
R. Kavuma McQueenM7.6
J. MeghomaD6.7
Blackburn
O. AfolayanM8.2
R. MorishitaM7.0
J. FevrierF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Portsmouth edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Blackburn have secured just one victory from their last five away outings, while Portsmouth have recorded two wins and one draw in their last five home matches. Portsmouth have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have kept just two clean sheets during that same period. The hosts face seven confirmed absences, whereas Blackburn are missing five players with one remaining in doubt. Portsmouth rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 44.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.7% → 44.2%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 27.9%
−0.1 pts
Blackburn win
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.9%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Portsmouth
Draw
Blackburn
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PortsmouthBlackburn
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
7
1.17
Points/Game
1.14
1.17
Goals/Game
1.43
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.43
15.9
Shots/Game
11.6
4.6
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Portsmouth at home (4 matches) vs Blackburn away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.75
1.25
Goals/Game
1.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Portsmouth
Home form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Blackburn
Away form
L
W
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Portsmouth Wins
2
Draws
1
Blackburn Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Blackburn1 – 1Portsmouth
Portsmouth2 – 1Blackburn
Portsmouth1 – 0Blackburn
Blackburn3 – 0Portsmouth
Portsmouth1 – 2Blackburn
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Portsmouthvs
Blackburn
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.8%→Latest 46.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 51.5%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Portsmouth's 10 matches and 3 of Blackburn's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?