Preston vs Lincoln Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Deepdale
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.37
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.05
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Preston
Lincoln
Harry Clarke 🟨
54'
81'
⚽ F. Draper (Andrei Coubiș)
86'
🟨 Dom Jefferies
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
3
16
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Preston (4-4-2)
D. Iversen
L. Gibbs
J. Storey
O. Offiah
A. Vukčević
H. Clarke
S. Mills
J. Thompson
A. Devine
C. Lang
J. Kenny
Lincoln (3-4-2-1)
G. Wickens
D. Elerewe
A. Coubiș
S. Bradley
D. Oyegoke
T. Bayliss
C. McGrandles
A. Reach
R. Hackett
B. House
R. Street
Player Ratings ?
Preston
O. OffiahD7.1
J. StoreyD6.9
A. HughesD6.8
Lincoln
F. DraperF7.8
A. CoubișD7.5
T. BaylissM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Preston edge attack and head-to-head, Lincoln edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lincoln stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Preston slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lincoln stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Preston stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Lincoln have secured just a solitary victory from their last two away fixtures, while Preston's home record across five recent outings has yielded only one win amidst four defeats. Preston have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that same span. The hosts face availability questions with one player confirmed out and two others listed as doubtful ahead of the match. Lincoln rate stronger on form and defence, while Preston rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 1999. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Preston losing run
3
Preston points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Preston win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.8% → 40.7%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.6%
+0.1 pts
Lincoln win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.7% → 31.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Preston
Draw
Lincoln
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PrestonLincoln
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
19th
6
Games Played
5
0.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.80
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.20
12.9
Shots/Game
12.6
3.1
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Preston at home (4 matches) vs Lincoln away (4 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
2.25
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.50
25%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Preston
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lincoln
Away form
L
W
Won 1 of last 2 away
Limited history — only 2 away fixtures on record for Lincoln.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
1/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Preston Wins
2
Draws
2
Lincoln Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Preston5 – 0Lincoln
Lincoln3 – 4Preston
Lincoln0 – 0Preston
Preston1 – 2Lincoln
Lincoln1 – 1Preston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Prestonvs
Lincoln
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.80
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/5
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/5
2/10
Failed to Score
1/5
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 50.1%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 55.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Lincoln have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Preston's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?