QPR vs Cardiff Head to Head, Prediction
Loftus Road
Wed 02 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.96
Draw
4.00
Away Win
3.55
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
QPR
Cardiff
R. Burrell ⚽
36'
47'
🟨 O. Tanner
R. Burrell (R. Edwards) ⚽
53'
75'
⚽ P. Ng (O. Tanner)
77'
🟨 P. Ng
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. QPR edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Attack
QPR slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
QPR stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Cardiff
Cardiff's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Cardiff win as more likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. QPR remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
QPR win
Latest market chance 48.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.1% → 48.7%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.0%
−0.6 pts
Cardiff win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.3% → 26.4%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
QPR
Draw
Cardiff
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
QPRCardiff
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
18th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
16.9
Shots/Game
18.8
5.2
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
QPR at home (4 matches) vs Cardiff away (4 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.25
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
QPR
Home form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cardiff
Away form
D
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
QPR Wins
2
Draws
2
Cardiff Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
QPR0 – 0Cardiff
Cardiff0 – 2QPR
QPR1 – 2Cardiff
Cardiff1 – 2QPR
Cardiff0 – 0QPR
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
QPRvs
Cardiff
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 55.8%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 57.8%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of QPR's 10 matches and 7 of Cardiff's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?