Stoke vs Norwich Head to Head, Prediction
Bet365 Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.32
Draw
3.61
Away Win
2.17
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Stoke
Norwich
E. Galbraith ⚽
13'
B. Lawal 🟨
47'
E. Galbraith 🟨
49'
61'
🟨 J. Cordoba
66'
🟨 K. McLean
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Norwich
Norwich rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Stoke edge head-to-head, giving Norwich a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Norwich slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stoke slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Norwich
Norwich's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Norwich win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stoke win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.3% → 29.6%
−2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.4%
−0.3 pts
Norwich win
Latest market chance 43.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
40.0% → 43.1%
+3.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stoke
Draw
Norwich
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StokeNorwich
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
16th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
12.0
Shots/Game
15.0
4.0
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Stoke at home (4 matches) vs Norwich away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.75
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.25
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stoke
Home form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Norwich
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stoke Wins
1
Draws
2
Norwich Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Norwich0 – 2Stoke
Stoke1 – 1Norwich
Norwich4 – 2Stoke
Stoke1 – 1Norwich
Stoke0 – 3Norwich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stokevs
Norwich
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.0%→Latest 52.6%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 56.6%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Stoke's 10 matches and 7 of Norwich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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