Stoke vs Sheffield United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
bet365 Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.47
Away Win
3.05
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Stoke
Sheffield United
10'
🟨 Kalvin Phillips
Justin Devenny 🟨
32'
Maksym Taloverov 🟨
43'
51'
⚽ Kalvin Phillips
54'
🟨 Oliver Arblaster
Ethan Galbraith 🟨
63'
Eric Junior Bocat 🟨
63'
63'
🟨 Liam Kitching
69'
🟨 Rhys Norrington-Davies
Jack Mcglynn (Junior Tchamadeu) ⚽
78'
Sam Gallagher (Ethan Galbraith) ⚽
86'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
1
13
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Stoke (3-4-3)
V. Johansson
B. Wilmot
M. Talovierov
L. Graham
B. Johnson
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
E. Galbraith
E. Bocat
J. McGlynn
L. Cissé
J. Devenny
Sheffield United (3-4-2-1)
M. Cooper
J. Baptiste
J. Tanganga
L. Kitching
H. Choudhury
K. Phillips
Sydie Peck
R. Norrington-Davies
O. Arblaster
B. Brereton
P. Bamford
Player Ratings ?
Stoke
J. McGlynnF8.1
E. GalbraithM7.7
S. GallagherF7.7
Sheffield United
K. PhillipsM7.5
J. TangangaD6.7
T. CannonF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stoke edge attack, Sheffield United edge head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Stoke slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sheffield United stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sheffield United have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Stoke have struggled at home with just two victories against three defeats in the same span. The Potters have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have also conceded goals in three of those same five fixtures. Stoke face two confirmed absences and two players under doubt, while Sheffield United have four definite outsidess alongside one doubtful option ahead of kickoff. Stoke hold a slight advantage in attack, while Sheffield United rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and defence are closely matched. Sheffield United won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 29 December 2025, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Stoke's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Stoke's implied win probability has risen by 6.2 percentage points, while Sheffield United's implied win probability has fallen by 6.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Sheffield United
Sheffield United's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sheffield United win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Stoke remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stoke win
Latest market chance 40.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
34.2% → 40.4%
+6.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.9%
+0.2 pts
Sheffield United win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.1% → 31.7%
−6.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stoke
Draw
Sheffield United
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StokeSheffield United
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
15th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
1.29
1.57
Goals/Game
1.14
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.29
12.0
Shots/Game
8.2
4.0
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Stoke at home (4 matches) vs Sheffield United away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.25
2.00
Goals/Game
1.25
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stoke
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sheffield United
Away form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stoke Wins
0
Draws
0
Sheffield United Wins
5
Avg Goals
3.0
Stoke1 – 2Sheffield United
Sheffield United4 – 0Stoke
Stoke0 – 2Sheffield United
Sheffield United2 – 0Stoke
Sheffield United3 – 1Stoke
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stokevs
Sheffield United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 50.8%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 55.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Stoke's 10 matches and 3 of Sheffield United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?