Watford vs Preston Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Vicarage Road
Tue 08 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.16
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.53
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Watford
Preston
5'
⚽ Callum Lang
62'
🟨 Andrija Vukčević
67'
🟨 Lewis Gibson
Edo Kayembe ⚽
69'
Mamadou Doumbia (Iker Bravo) ⚽
76'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Goal
6
2
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Watford (4-2-3-1)
F. Ravaglia
K. Keben
M. Pollock
S. Coulibaly
O. Traoré
E. Kayembe
H. Kyprianou
Amin Nabizada
M. Payero
R. Vata
M. Doumbia
Preston (5-3-2)
D. Iversen
H. Clarke
O. Offiah
J. Storey
L. Gibson
A. Vukčević
L. Leroy
J. Thompson
A. Devine
C. Lang
J. Kenny
Player Ratings ?
Watford
E. KayembeM8.2
M. DoumbiaF8.1
F. RavagliaG7.3
Preston
C. LangF8.2
O. OffiahD6.9
A. DevineM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Preston edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Preston stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Preston stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Preston stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Preston have secured two wins from their last five away outings, whereas Watford have recorded just one victory in their corresponding home sample. Watford have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have conceded in every single game during that same period. Watford face a significant selection headache with five players out and one doubtful, while Preston have only one player unavailable but two others are listed as doubtful. Preston rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Watford win
Latest market chance 45.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.6% → 45.1%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.6%
+0.1 pts
Preston win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 27.2%
+0.3 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Watford
Preston
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
23rd
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
0.60
0.80
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.6
Shots/Game
12.9
3.5
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Watford at home (4 matches) vs Preston away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.25
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.75
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Watford
Home form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Preston
Away form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Watford Wins
0
Draws
3
Preston Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-02-142025-2026
Preston2 – 2Watford
2025-11-252025-2026
Watford1 – 1Preston
2025-01-212024-2025
Watford1 – 2Preston
2024-10-022024-2025
Preston3 – 0Watford
2024-04-062023-2024
Watford0 – 0Preston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Watford
vs
Preston
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded / game
2.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.9%→Latest 50.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
11 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.5%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
10 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Watford's 10 matches and 5 of Preston's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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