West Brom vs Watford Head to Head, Prediction
The Hawthorns
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.64
Away Win
4.07
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
West Brom
Watford
16'
🟨 Martín Payero
Jimmy Morgan 🟨
34'
J. Morgan (H. Whitwell) ⚽
36'
Ousmane Diakité 🟨
42'
63'
🟨 Edo Kayembe
Nathaniel Phillips 🟨
88'
Harry Whitwell 🟨
89'
Isaac Price 🟨
90+5'
90+5'
🟨 Iker Bravo
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
4
18
Fouls
11
5
Yellow Cards
3
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
West Brom
M. O'Leary
N. Galves
C. Mepham
G. Campbell
C. Styles
H. Whitwell
R. Nzingoula
O. Diakite
I. Price
A. Heggebo
J. Morgan
Watford (4-2-3-1)
F. Ravaglia
A. Eames
M. Pollock
K. Keben
J. Zemura
E. Bove
H. Kyprianou
O. Maamma
M. Payero
I. Bravo
L. Kjerrumgaard
Player Ratings ?
West Brom
Harry WhitwellM8.2
Chris MephamD7.6
Nolan GalvesD7.3
Watford
Federico RavagliaG7.3
Matthew PollockD7.3
Iker BravoM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
West Brom
West Brom rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving West Brom an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards West Brom
West Brom's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a West Brom win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Brom win
Latest market chance 49.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
46.1% → 49.9%
+3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.1% → 26.5%
−1.6 pts
Watford win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.8% → 23.6%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Brom
Draw
Watford
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West BromWatford
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
15th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.25
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
9.9
Shots/Game
11.6
3.8
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
West Brom at home (4 matches) vs Watford away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.25
1.50
Goals/Game
0.25
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Brom
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Watford
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Brom Wins
2
Draws
1
Watford Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
West Brom3 – 0Watford
Watford2 – 1West Brom
West Brom2 – 1Watford
Watford2 – 1West Brom
West Brom2 – 2Watford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Bromvs
Watford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 50.0%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 53.3%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of West Brom's 10 matches and 6 of Watford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?