For Sittard vs Ajax Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.37
Draw
5.09
Away Win
1.45
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 5
Match Events ?
For Sittard
Ajax
6'
🟨 Jorthy Mokio
23'
🟨 Youri Baas
35'
⚽ Julian Brandt
Lequincio Zeefuik 🟨
44'
Anthony Descotte ⚽
52'
62'
⚽ Thilo Kehrer
64'
🟨 Steven Berghuis
71'
🟨 Caio Henrique
73'
⚽ Davy Klaassen (Thilo Kehrer)
79'
⚽ Kasper Dolberg (Oscar Gloukh)
81'
🟨 Abdellah Ouazane
90+6'
⚽ Youri Baas (Viktor Tsygankov)
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
8
Total Shots
27
4
Shots on Goal
11
3
Corner Kicks
11
5
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
For Sittard (5-3-2)
M. Branderhorst
Ivo Pinto
P. Brittijn
Rodrigo Guth
Justin Quincy Hubner
J. Dahlhaus
M. Ihattaren
É. Michut
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
L. Zeefuik
O. Romeny
Ajax (4-3-3)
M. ter Stegen
A. Gaaei
T. Kehrer
Y. Baas
Caio Henrique
J. Mokio
S. Amrabat
J. Brandt
S. Berghuis
T. Arokodare
O. Edvardsen
Player Ratings ?
For Sittard
A. DescotteF8.1
M. BranderhorstG6.8
Justin Quincy HubnerD6.5
Ajax
T. KehrerD8.3
J. BrandtM8.0
A. GaaeiD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ajax
Ajax rate stronger in attack, defence and head-to-head; recent form is closely matched, giving Ajax a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Ajax stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ajax stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ajax stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ajax arrive with an impressive run of four wins and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while For Sittard have secured just two victories in the same number of home outings. At home, the hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sample period. Ajax rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Ajax won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to For Sittard's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, For Sittard's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points, while Ajax's implied win probability has risen by 5.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Ajax a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Ajax yellow cards after 75'
13
Ajax points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Ajax
Ajax's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ajax win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
For Sittard win
Latest market chance 14.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
17.7% → 14.8%
−2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.7% → 18.8%
−1.9 pts
Ajax win
Latest market chance 66.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
61.5% → 66.4%
+4.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
For Sittard
Draw
Ajax
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
For SittardAjax
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
4
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
2.20
Goals/Game
2.25
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.25
10.1
Shots/Game
24.7
4.6
Shots on Target
8.0
Home vs Away Context
For Sittard at home (3 matches) vs Ajax away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.33
Goals/Game
3.67
2.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
33%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
For Sittard
Home form
D
L
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ajax
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
5/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
For Sittard Wins
0
Draws
1
Ajax Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.0
Ajax4 – 1For Sittard
For Sittard1 – 3Ajax
For Sittard0 – 2Ajax
Ajax5 – 0For Sittard
Ajax2 – 2For Sittard
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
For Sittardvs
Ajax
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 68.6%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 61.5%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of For Sittard's 10 matches and 6 of Ajax's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?