Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
De Adelaarshorst
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 17:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.92
Away Win
2.80
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
32'
⚽ Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson (Pelle Clement)
Søren Tengstedt (Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson) ⚽
82'
Yassir Salah Rahmouni 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
24
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Goal
2
9
Corner Kicks
0
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Go Ahead Eagles (4-2-3-1)
K. Haug
A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen
J. Kramer
D. James
M. Meulensteen
E. Linthorst
S. Tengstedt
V. Edvardsen
M. Suray
S. Sigurðarson
Groningen (4-2-3-1)
E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders
M. Csinger
T. Blokzijl
Wouter Prins
T. de Jonge
T. Land
D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen
P. Clement
B. Willumsson
Player Ratings ?
Go Ahead Eagles
S. TengstedtM8.2
S. SigurðarsonF7.3
V. EdvardsenM7.2
Groningen
B. WillumssonF7.9
P. ClementM7.5
E. VaessenG7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Go Ahead Eagles edge head-to-head, Groningen edge recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Groningen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Groningen have recorded two wins from their last five away outings across seasons, whereas Go Ahead Eagles boast three victories and a single draw in their corresponding home sample of that same length. At home, the Eagles have found the net in four of their last five matches while also keeping two clean sheets within that identical recent span. Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while form is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Go Ahead Eagles win
Latest market chance 40.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.9% → 40.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.7%
+0.2 pts
Groningen win
Latest market chance 34.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.6% → 34.4%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 4Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Go Ahead Eagles
Draw
Groningen
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
5
1.50
Points/Game
1.40
2.83
Goals/Game
2.20
2.50
Conceded/Game
2.40
15.1
Shots/Game
14.9
6.3
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Go Ahead Eagles at home (3 matches) vs Groningen away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.33
2.67
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.33
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Go Ahead Eagles
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Groningen
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
2
Draws
3
Groningen Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.6
2026-04-112025-2026
Groningen0 – 0Go Ahead Eagles
2025-12-212025-2026
Go Ahead Eagles1 – 1Groningen
2025-01-182024-2025
Go Ahead Eagles2 – 1Groningen
2024-09-292024-2025
Groningen0 – 1Go Ahead Eagles
2023-05-072022-2023
Go Ahead Eagles1 – 1Groningen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Go Ahead Eagles
vs
Groningen
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.30
Goals conceded / game
2.20
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
84.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
66.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
45.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
67.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 65.7%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 4Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.9%→Latest 66.9%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 4Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Go Ahead Eagles's 10 matches and 5 of Groningen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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