Groningen vs Twente Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 11:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.29
Draw
3.78
Away Win
2.07
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Groningen
Twente
6'
⚽ Marko Pjaca (Wout Weghorst)
8'
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
Thom Van Bergen (David van der Werff) ⚽
18'
Tygo Land (Thijmen Blokzijl) ⚽
29'
40'
⚽ Wout Weghorst (Younes Taha El Idrissi)
Mark Csinger 🟨
55'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
21
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
2
6
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Groningen (4-2-3-1)
E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders
T. Blokzijl
M. Csinger
W. Prins
T. de Jonge
T. Land
D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen
P. Clement
B. Willumsson
Twente (4-2-3-1)
L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
M. Bruns
R. Propper
R. Nijstad
R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann
M. Pjaca
Y. Taha
S. Orjasaeter
W. Weghorst
Player Ratings ?
Groningen
T. LandM8.1
T. van BergenM7.7
D. van der WerffM7.5
Twente
W. WeghorstF8.1
Y. TahaM7.6
M. PjacaM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Twente edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Twente slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Twente slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Twente stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Twente
Twente's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Twente win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Groningen win
Latest market chance 29.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.4% → 29.2%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.4% → 25.0%
+0.6 pts
Twente win
Latest market chance 45.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.1% → 45.8%
−1.3 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Groningen
Twente
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
8th
4
Games Played
3
1.50
Points/Game
2.00
2.25
Goals/Game
2.33
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.9
Shots/Game
21.6
5.4
Shots on Target
7.6
Home vs Away Context
Groningen at home (4 matches) vs Twente away (3 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.33
2.25
Goals/Game
2.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Groningen
Home form
D
L
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Twente
Away form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Groningen Wins
0
Draws
3
Twente Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-02-222025-2026
Twente2 – 1Groningen
2025-11-022025-2026
Groningen1 – 1Twente
2025-03-012024-2025
Groningen1 – 1Twente
2024-12-152024-2025
Twente2 – 0Groningen
2023-02-052022-2023
Groningen1 – 1Twente
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Groningen
vs
Twente
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
41.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 62.1%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.3%→Latest 63.6%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Groningen's 10 matches and 7 of Twente's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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