Heerenveen vs Telstar Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
4.66
Away Win
4.70
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Heerenveen
Telstar
Vasilios Zagaritis 🟨
69'
Marko Farji 🟨
83'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
23
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1)
B. Klaverboer
O. Braude
S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
L. Smans
N. Courtens
J. Trenskow
R. Meerveld
M. Rivera
D. Vente
Telstar (3-4-2-1)
R. Koeman
S. Valk
A. Soualhia
M. Peersman
Gerald Alders
T. Owusu
N. Rossen
J. Hardeveld
Rui Mendes
P. Brouwer
N. Þórisson
Player Ratings ?
Heerenveen
V. ZagaritisD7.3
R. MeerveldM7.2
B. KlaverboerG7.2
Telstar
R. KoemanG7.9
A. SoualhiaD6.9
N. RossenM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Heerenveen edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Telstar edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Telstar slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Heerenveen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Heerenveen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Heerenveen have secured two wins from their last five outings at home, Telstar have also managed two victories in their corresponding away sample, though both sides share identical records of one draw and two defeats within those respective recent sequences. Heerenveen have found the net in three of their last five matches at home while keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that same period. The hosts face availability concerns with three players unavailable and one listed as doubtful ahead of kickoff. Telstar hold a slight advantage in form, while Heerenveen rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Heerenveen won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 14 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Telstar's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Heerenveen's implied win probability has risen by 7.4 percentage points, while Telstar's implied win probability has fallen by 4.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Heerenveen
Heerenveen's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Heerenveen win as more likely than it did 9 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Heerenveen win
Latest market chance 58.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.3% → 58.7%
+7.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.6% → 21.0%
−2.6 pts
Telstar win
Latest market chance 20.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
25.1% → 20.3%
−4.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Heerenveen
Draw
Telstar
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HeerenveenTelstar

Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
14th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
0.80
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
1.80
Conceded/Game
2.20
16.0
Shots/Game
7.9
6.0
Shots on Target
2.1
Home vs Away Context
Heerenveen at home (4 matches) vs Telstar away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
0.50
1.25
Conceded/Game
0.75
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Heerenveen
Home form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Telstar
Away form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Heerenveen Wins
2
Draws
0
Telstar Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.0
Heerenveen3 – 0Telstar
Telstar2 – 3Heerenveen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Heerenveenvs
Telstar

Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.4%→Latest 69.2%+5.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 66.2%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Heerenveen's 10 matches and 5 of Telstar's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?