Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.53
Draw
3.79
Away Win
2.64
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 4
Match Events ?
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
Julian Baas 🟨
24'
28'
⚽ Nolhan courtens (Levi Smans)
43'
⚽ Jacob Trenskow (Maxence Rivera)
56'
⚽ Maxence Rivera (Levi Smans)
Marvin Young 🟨
61'
75'
⚽ Marko Farji (Luca Oyen)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
23
0
Shots on Goal
9
3
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam (4-2-3-1)
M. Brouwer
L. Martes
M. Young
B. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers
J. Baas
Cedric Hatenboer
C. Terho
I. Babadi
Joel Ideho
M. Zonneveld
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1)
B. Klaverboer
O. Braude
S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
M. Linday
L. Smans
J. Trenskow
N. Courtens
M. Rivera
D. Vente
Player Ratings ?
Sparta Rotterdam
M. BrouwerG6.6
Joel IdehoM6.5
M. ZonneveldF6.4
Heerenveen
M. RiveraM9.0
L. SmansM8.6
N. CourtensM8.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sparta Rotterdam edge attack, Heerenveen edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sparta Rotterdam slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Heerenveen have secured just one win from their last five away outings, while Sparta Rotterdam have drawn three of their last five home fixtures. Sparta Rotterdam have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept no clean sheets across that same span. One player is unavailable for Sparta Rotterdam, whereas Heerenveen face the absence of four individuals ahead of this Eredivisie encounter. Heerenveen rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Sparta Rotterdam hold a slight advantage in attack. Heerenveen won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 28 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Sparta Rotterdam's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Sparta Rotterdam's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Heerenveen's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sparta Rotterdam win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sparta Rotterdam win
Latest market chance 37.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.3% → 37.8%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 26.1%
−0.1 pts
Heerenveen win
Latest market chance 36.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.6% → 36.1%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Heerenveen
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.17
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.1
Shots/Game
16.0
4.3
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Sparta Rotterdam at home (4 matches) vs Heerenveen away (3 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.67
1.25
Goals/Game
2.67
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home form
D
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Heerenveen
Away form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
2
Draws
0
Heerenveen Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Heerenveen2 – 1Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam0 – 3Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam3 – 1Heerenveen
Heerenveen2 – 0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam2 – 1Heerenveen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sparta Rotterdamvs
Heerenveen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.7%→Latest 62.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.0%→Latest 65.7%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Sparta Rotterdam's 10 matches and 4 of Heerenveen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?