Telstar vs Den Haag Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

BUKO Stadion
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.98
Draw
3.73
Away Win
3.58
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Telstar edge recent form and defence, Den Haag edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Telstar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Den Haag slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Telstar stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Den Haag arrive at this Eredivisie clash with a poor away record, having secured just one draw from their last five outings on the road, while hosts Telstar have managed two victories and a single stalemate in their own recent home fixtures. The visitors' struggles stand in stark contrast to the hosts' more competitive home display, which has seen them find the net in four of those same five matches. Telstar have been active at home, scoring in four of their last five matches, though they have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that identical span. This pattern suggests an attacking side that is likely to be involved in goals but struggles with defensive solidity when playing on their own patch. Telstar rate stronger on form and defence, while Den Haag hold a slight advantage in attack. Over the 23-day comparison window, Telstar's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Den Haag's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Den Haag losing run
50%
Den Haag yellow cards after 75'
1
Den Haag points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Telstar
No current absences reported
Den Haag
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Den Haag
Den Haag's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Den Haag win as less likely than it did 23 days ago. Telstar remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Telstar win
Latest market chance 47.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
44.5% → 47.1%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.9% → 25.7%
+0.8 pts
Den Haag win
Latest market chance 27.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
30.5% → 27.3%
−3.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
18 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Telstar
Draw
Den Haag
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 23 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Telstar
Den Haag
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
17th
7
Games Played
7
0.71
Points/Game
0.29
0.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.71
Conceded/Game
2.43
7.9
Shots/Game
11.9
2.1
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Telstar at home (3 matches) vs Den Haag away (4 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
0.25
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.25
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Telstar
Home form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Den Haag
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Telstar and Den Haag.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Telstar
vs
Den Haag
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
40.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 60.3%−2.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 23 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.9%→Latest 62.3%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 23 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Telstar's 10 matches and 3 of Den Haag's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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