Anderlecht vs Waregem Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Lotto Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.77
Draw
3.82
Away Win
4.66
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Anderlecht
Waregem
24'
🟨 Laurent Lemoine
Lukas Ambros 🟨
34'
Tawfik Bentayeb ⚽
40'
Marten Winkler (Tawfik Bentayeb) ⚽
48'
Marten Winkler ⚽
54'
Marco Kana 🟨
80'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
1
7
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
7
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Anderlecht (4-4-2)
C. Coosemans
A. Maamar
A. Omobamidele
L. Pétrot
L. Augustinsson
L. Ambros
M. Kana
I. Koutsoupias
M. Winkler
T. Bentayeb
D. Sikan
Waregem (4-3-3)
L. Bostyn
S. Diakité
L. Lemoine
J. Kiilerich
Y. Cappelle
M. Aké
E. Lofolomo
T. Claes
Á. Zalán
A. Ementa
O. Niang
Player Ratings ?
Anderlecht
M. WinklerM9.4
T. BentayebF8.5
C. CoosemansG7.9
Waregem
A. EmentaF6.9
O. NiangF6.4
M. MbayeF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Waregem edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Waregem stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Waregem slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Waregem slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Waregem stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Waregem have enjoyed an impressive away run, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings with three victories and two draws, while Anderlecht mirror that stability at home with a similar record of three wins and two defeats-free draws from their most recent five fixtures. At home, Anderlecht have found the net in four of their last five matches but have conceded regularly, managing just two clean sheets during that identical five-game sequence. Waregem rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Anderlecht won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 22 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Waregem's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Anderlecht win
Latest market chance 53.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.5% → 53.6%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 25.0%
−0.1 pts
Waregem win
Latest market chance 21.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.4% → 21.4%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Anderlecht
Draw
Waregem
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AnderlechtWaregem

Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
1.83
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
0.83
Conceded/Game
0.67
16.6
Shots/Game
12.9
5.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Anderlecht at home (4 matches) vs Waregem away (4 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
1.25
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Anderlecht
Home form
D
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Waregem
Away form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Anderlecht Wins
2
Draws
0
Waregem Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.8
Waregem2 – 4Anderlecht
Anderlecht2 – 3Waregem
Anderlecht2 – 3Waregem
Waregem3 – 2Anderlecht
Waregem1 – 2Anderlecht
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Anderlechtvs
Waregem

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 55.0%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 56.1%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Anderlecht's 10 matches and 4 of Waregem's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?