Beveren vs Lommel SK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Freethiel Stadion
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.82
Draw
3.94
Away Win
4.01
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Beveren edge attack, Lommel SK edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lommel SK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Beveren stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Lommel SK have managed just one win and a draw from their last three away outings, while Beveren boast an impressive unbeaten run of five home matches with three victories. Beveren have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have also kept four clean sheets during that same period. Lommel SK hold a slight advantage in form, while Beveren rate stronger on attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Beveren
No current absences reported
Lommel SK
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Beveren win
Latest market chance 52.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.0% → 52.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.5%
±0.0 pts
Lommel SK win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.6%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Beveren
Draw
Lommel SK
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Beveren
Lommel SK
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
1.14
1.00
Goals/Game
0.86
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.14
10.7
Shots/Game
10.0
3.3
Shots on Target
2.4
Home vs Away Context
Beveren at home (3 matches) vs Lommel SK away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.33
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Beveren
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Lommel SK
Away form
D
W
L
Won 1 of last 3 away
Limited history — only 3 away fixtures on record for Lommel SK.
0.67
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/3
Scored in
last 3
1/3
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Beveren and Lommel SK.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beveren
vs
Lommel SK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.86
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.14
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/7
3/10
Both Teams Scored
1/7
4/10
Failed to Score
4/7
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Lommel SK have only 7 completed fixtures on record.
3 of Beveren's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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