Charleroi vs St. Gilloise Head to Head, Prediction
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.29
Draw
3.57
Away Win
2.20
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Charleroi
St. Gilloise
7'
🟨 Ondrej Kricfalusi
Mardochée Nzita 🟨
9'
12'
⚽ (OG) Mohamed Koné
Freddy Mbemba (Kevin Van Den Kerkhof) ⚽
27'
Patrick Pflücke (Jakob Napoleon Romsaas) ⚽
41'
44'
⚽ Adem Zorgane
45+2'
🟨 Louis Patris
49'
⚽ Kamiel Van De Perre (Besfort Zeneli)
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
M. Kone
K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou
C. Keita
M. Nzita
A. Boukamir
Y. Khalifi
P. Pflucke
J. Romsaas
F. Mbemba
A. Scheidler
St. Gilloise (3-4-1-2)
H. Koffi
K. Mac Allister
M. Sylla
O. Kricfalusi
L. Patris
K. Van De Perre
A. Zorgane
Guilherme Smith
B. Zeneli
R. Florucz
M. Biondic
Player Ratings ?
Charleroi
P. PflückeM7.5
J. RomsaasM7.3
F. Situmona MbembaM7.0
St. Gilloise
A. ZorganeM7.6
B. ZeneliF7.4
K. Van de PerreM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charleroi edge recent form and defence, St. Gilloise edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Gilloise slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St. Gilloise win as more likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charleroi win
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 28.8%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 27.3%
−0.1 pts
St. Gilloise win
Latest market chance 44.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
43.2% → 44.0%
+0.8 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharleroiSt. Gilloise
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
4th
4
Games Played
4
3.00
Points/Game
2.50
2.25
Goals/Game
2.75
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.25
18.0
Shots/Game
17.3
5.9
Shots on Target
8.0
Home vs Away Context
Charleroi at home (4 matches) vs St. Gilloise away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
3.00
2.50
Goals/Game
3.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.75
75%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charleroi
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St. Gilloise
Away form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charleroi Wins
0
Draws
1
St. Gilloise Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
Charleroi1 – 1St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise3 – 1Charleroi
Charleroi1 – 2St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise1 – 0Charleroi
Charleroi1 – 3St. Gilloise
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charleroivs
St. Gilloise
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.30
0.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.3%→Latest 49.8%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.2%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Charleroi's 10 matches and 6 of St. Gilloise's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?