Genk vs Gent Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cegeka Arena
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.18
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.52
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Genk
Gent
10'
⚽ Momodou Sonko (Tiago Araújo)
21'
🟨 Momodou Sonko
32'
🟨 Josue Vergara
45+4'
🟨 Tiago Araújo
Rafiu Durosinmi (Junya Ito) ⚽
47'
Benjamin Tahirovic 🟨
53'
66'
🟨 Mathias Delorge
78'
🟨 Leonardo Da Silva Lopes
Josue Kongolo 🟨
80'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
17
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
9
8
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Genk (4-2-3-1)
L. Kiaba Mounganga
K. Amaro
M. Smets
J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe
I. Bangoura
B. Heynen
J. Ito
J. Erenbjerg
A. Yokoyama
R. Durosinmi
Gent (3-4-2-1)
D. Roef
M. Ngom
C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden
M. Balikwisha
T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge-Knieper
Tiago Araújo
Kyrell Wilson
M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega
Player Ratings ?
Genk
R. DurosinmiF8.1
L. Kiaba MoungangaG7.9
K. AmaroD7.2
Gent
M. SonkoM7.8
D. RoefG7.5
Tiago AraújoM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Genk edge attack and head-to-head, Gent edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Genk have secured three wins from their last five home outings without a single defeat, while Gent have recorded two victories in their corresponding away fixtures alongside one draw and two losses during that same span. At home, Genk have found the net in four of their last five matches but also managed three clean sheets within that identical recent sample. Gent rate stronger on form, while Genk rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 31 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Genk's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Gent's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Gent unbeaten run
70%
Genk yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Genk
Genk's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Genk win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genk win
Latest market chance 44.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.5% → 44.7%
−3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 28.0%
+0.6 pts
Gent win
Latest market chance 27.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.0% → 27.3%
+3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genk
Draw
Gent
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenkGent

Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
2nd
5
Games Played
5
1.60
Points/Game
3.00
2.40
Goals/Game
2.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.40
14.1
Shots/Game
12.4
4.9
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Genk at home (3 matches) vs Gent away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
2.33
2.67
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
67%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Genk
Home form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Gent
Away form
L
D
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genk Wins
3
Draws
2
Gent Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
Gent1 – 1Genk
Genk3 – 0Gent
Gent1 – 1Genk
Gent1 – 4Genk
Genk4 – 0Gent
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genkvs
Gent

Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.1%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 57.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Genk's 10 matches and 5 of Gent's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?