Gent vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven Head to Head, Prediction
Planet Group Arena
Thu 03 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.60
Draw
4.22
Away Win
5.50
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Gent
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Tiago Araújo ⚽
46'
58'
🟨 Wouter George
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
65'
76'
🟨 Oscar Gil Regaño
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
15
Total Shots
8
1
Shots on Goal
1
10
Corner Kicks
1
10
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Gent (3-4-2-1)
D. Roef
M. Ngom
C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden
Kyrell Wilson
M. Delorge-Knieper
Leonardo Lopes
Tiago Araújo
L. Bénes
M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (3-4-3)
D. van den Heuvel
J. Lawrence
N. Dussenne
E. Pletinckx
Óscar Gil
W. George
B. Verstraete
D. Opoku
W. Balikwisha
S. Yamada
Ł. Łakomy
Player Ratings ?
Gent
Tiago AraújoM7.8
M. Delorge-KnieperM7.2
C. BurgessD7.1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
E. PletinckxD7.1
D. van den HeuvelG7.0
J. LawrenceD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Gent
Gent rate stronger in recent form and defence; Oud-Heverlee Leuven edge head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Gent a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oud-Heverlee Leuven stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Gent
Gent's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Gent win as more likely than it did 1 day ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gent win
Latest market chance 58.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
57.8% → 58.9%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.7% → 23.5%
−0.2 pts
Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Latest market chance 17.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.4% → 17.7%
−0.7 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GentOud-Heverlee Leuven
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
17th
3
Games Played
3
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
12.4
Shots/Game
13.1
4.9
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Gent at home (4 matches) vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.75
Goals/Game
0.33
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.33
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gent
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Away form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gent Wins
1
Draws
1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Gent1 – 3Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven4 – 0Gent
Oud-Heverlee Leuven0 – 0Gent
Gent3 – 0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Gent0 – 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gentvs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.00
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 54.5%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.1%→Latest 53.0%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Gent's 10 matches and 7 of Oud-Heverlee Leuven's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?