Gent vs Standard Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ghelamco Arena
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.79
Draw
3.66
Away Win
4.79
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Gent
Standard
Josue Vergara ⚽
31'
45+3'
⚽ Casper Nielsen (Dennis Dargahi)
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
76'
Christian Burgess (Tibe De Vlieger) ⚽
83'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
5
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Gent (3-4-2-1)
D. Roef
M. Ngom
C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden
M. Volckaert
T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge-Knieper
Tiago Araújo
M. Balikwisha
M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega
Standard (4-3-3)
M. Epolo
M. Fossey
I. Karamoko
I. Hautekiet
H. Lawrence
C. Nielsen
A. Trouillet
R. Touzghar
S. Drammeh
D. Eckert Ayensa
A. Abid
Player Ratings ?
Gent
C. BurgessD8.2
J. Y. Vergara OrtegaF7.7
T. De VliegerM7.7
Standard
M. EpoloG7.4
I. KaramokoD6.9
I. HautekietD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gent edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Standard edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Standard stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Standard have recorded three wins and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Gent remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws in that same span. Gent have found the net in four of their last five home matches yet have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Gent rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Standard rate stronger on attack. Gent won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 23 January 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Standard's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Gent's implied win probability has risen by 2.5 percentage points, while Standard's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Gent unbeaten run
50%
Standard yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Gent
Gent's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Gent win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gent win
Latest market chance 52.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.0% → 52.5%
+2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.3%
−0.4 pts
Standard win
Latest market chance 21.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.3% → 21.2%
−2.1 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GentStandard
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
6th
6
Games Played
6
2.67
Points/Game
1.83
1.83
Goals/Game
2.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.67
12.4
Shots/Game
14.0
4.9
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Gent at home (4 matches) vs Standard away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
2.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
100%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gent
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Standard
Away form
W
W
D
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gent Wins
5
Draws
0
Standard Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.8
Standard0 – 4Gent
Gent4 – 0Standard
Standard0 – 1Gent
Gent5 – 0Standard
Standard1 – 4Gent
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gentvs
Standard
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.9%→Latest 48.4%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 51.1%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Gent's 10 matches and 4 of Standard's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?