Lommel SK vs Mechelen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Soeverein stadion
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.73
Draw
3.56
Away Win
2.55
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Lommel SK
Mechelen
Tom Reyners 🟨
40'
45'
🟨 Dennis Praet
48'
🟨 Simion Michez
70'
🟨 Mike Eerdhuijzen
90+3'
🟨 Marco Decherf
Jason Van Duiven 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
8
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Lommel SK (4-1-4-1)
Matthias Pieklak
J. van Duiven
T. Eyoma
N. Rommens
S. Adewoye
J. Pelupessy
J. Talvitie
L. Schoofs
T. Reyners
S. Appuah
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
Mechelen (3-4-2-1)
Nacho Mirás
L. Marijnissen
M. Eerdhuijzen
José Marsà
S. Michez
F. Hammar
D. Praet
T. Koudou
C. Van Meirvenne
M. van Brederode
Bouke Boersma
Player Ratings ?
Lommel SK
Matthias PieklakG7.7
N. RommensD7.1
S. AdewoyeD7.1
Mechelen
M. van BrederodeM7.2
L. MarijnissenD7.0
B. RamanF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lommel SK
Lommel SK rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Lommel SK a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lommel SK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lommel SK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lommel SK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Mechelen arrive at this Belgian Pro League fixture with a poor away record, having recorded just two draws and three losses in their last five outings, while hosts Lommel SK have managed only one win from their last three home matches. Lommel SK have found the net in just one of their last three home games and have kept a clean sheet on occasion during that same short sample, suggesting an inconsistent attacking output at this venue. Lommel SK rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack. Over the 5-day comparison window, Lommel SK's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points, while Mechelen's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Lommel SK a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Mechelen
Mechelen's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Mechelen win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lommel SK win
Latest market chance 35.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.2% → 35.5%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.0%
−0.3 pts
Mechelen win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
36.5% → 37.5%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lommel SK
Draw
Mechelen
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Lommel SKMechelen
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
0.83
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.33
10.0
Shots/Game
11.9
2.4
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Lommel SK at home (4 matches) vs Mechelen away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lommel SK
Home form
L
W
L
Lost 2 of last 3 at home
Limited history — only 3 home fixtures on record for Lommel SK.
1.33
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.67
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
1/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mechelen
Away form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Lommel SK and Mechelen.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lommel SKvs
Mechelen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.33
Goals conceded / game
2.40
2/6
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
1/6
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/6
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 54.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 58.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Lommel SK have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Mechelen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?