St. Gilloise vs Lommel SK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Joseph Marien
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.21
Draw
7.13
Away Win
12.09
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 0
Match Events ?
St. Gilloise
Lommel SK
Besfort Zeneli (Mateo Biondic) ⚽
3'
Relebohile Mofokeng (Mateo Biondic) ⚽
7'
Massire Sylla 🟨
42'
Louis Patris 🟨
52'
Ilan Hurtevent (Kamiel Van De Perre) ⚽
65'
Raul Florucz (Ilan Hurtevent) ⚽
88'
89'
🟨 Lee David Johnson
Raul Florucz ⚽
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
28
Total Shots
11
12
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
3
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
St. Gilloise (3-4-1-2)
H. Koffi
K. Mac Allister
M. Sylla
O. Kričfaluši
L. Patris
K. Van de Perre
A. Zorgane
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
B. Zeneli
R. Mofokeng
M. Biondic
Lommel SK (4-1-4-1)
Matthias Pieklak
J. van Duiven
S. Adewoye
D. Wouters
S. de Grand
J. Pelupessy
J. Talvitie
L. Schoofs
T. Reyners
S. Appuah
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
Player Ratings ?
St. Gilloise
M. BiondicF8.6
B. ZeneliM8.2
R. MofokengF8.0
Lommel SK
Matthias PieklakG6.8
J. PelupessyM6.5
T. ReynersM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise rate stronger in recent form and attack; defence is closely matched, giving St. Gilloise a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
St. Gilloise have enjoyed an unbeaten run of five matches at home with three victories and two draws, while Lommel SK have secured a single win and drawn another in their last two away outings. At this venue, St. Gilloise have found the net in three of their last five matches while keeping four clean sheets during that same period. St. Gilloise rate stronger on form and attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives St. Gilloise a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St. Gilloise win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St. Gilloise win
Latest market chance 79.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
78.1% → 79.0%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 13.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.9% → 13.5%
−0.4 pts
Lommel SK win
Latest market chance 7.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
8.0% → 7.5%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St. Gilloise
Draw
Lommel SK
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St. GilloiseLommel SK
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
10th
5
Games Played
5
2.60
Points/Game
1.40
2.80
Goals/Game
1.20
0.60
Conceded/Game
0.60
17.3
Shots/Game
10.0
8.0
Shots on Target
2.4
Home vs Away Context
St. Gilloise at home (3 matches) vs Lommel SK away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.33
2.67
Goals/Game
0.67
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St. Gilloise
Home form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lommel SK
Away form
D
W
Unbeaten in last 2 away
Limited history — only 2 away fixtures on record for Lommel SK.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
1/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between St. Gilloise and Lommel SK.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St. Gilloisevs
Lommel SK
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/5
4/10
Both Teams Scored
1/5
3/10
Failed to Score
2/5
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 65.2%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 48.0%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Lommel SK have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
5 of St. Gilloise's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?