Waregem vs Gent Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Elindus Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.94
Draw
3.23
Away Win
2.50
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Waregem edge attack and defence, Gent edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Waregem stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Waregem slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Waregem have enjoyed a robust run at home with four wins from their last five outings, while Gent have been less consistent away from home with just two victories in the same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that period. Gent rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Waregem rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in defence. Gent won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 13 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Waregem's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Gent unbeaten run
12
Waregem points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Waregem
No current absences reported
Gent
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Waregem win
Latest market chance 33.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.2% → 33.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.1%
±0.0 pts
Gent win
Latest market chance 38.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.8% → 38.7%
−0.1 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WaregemGent
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
2nd
7
Games Played
7
1.57
Points/Game
2.71
1.43
Goals/Game
1.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.57
12.9
Shots/Game
12.4
4.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Waregem at home (3 matches) vs Gent away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.33
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.67
67%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Waregem
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gent
Away form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Waregem Wins
1
Draws
0
Gent Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.0
Gent2 – 0Waregem
Waregem4 – 1Gent
Waregem2 – 6Gent
Gent2 – 0Waregem
Gent2 – 1Waregem
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Waregemvs
Gent
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 48.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Waregem's 10 matches and 3 of Gent's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?