Westerlo vs Standard Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Het Kuipje
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.56
Draw
3.75
Away Win
2.62
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Westerlo
Standard
Norman Bassette (Cameron Congreve) ⚽
12'
Amando Lapage ⚽
56'
66'
⚽ Bruny Nsimba (Ibrahim Karamoko)
71'
⚽ Adnane Abid
Pape Daouda Diong (Ibrahim Cheick Fofana) ⚽
77'
Thomas Van Den Keybus (Lasse Flo) ⚽
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
6
1
Corner Kicks
7
8
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Westerlo (4-2-3-1)
A. Jungdal
L. Flø
S. Kimura
A. Lapage
D. Ourega
I. Fofana
C. Sandra
C. Congreve
I. Sakamoto
S. Saito
N. Bassette
Standard (4-3-3)
M. Epolo
M. Fossey
I. Karamoko
I. Hautekiet
T. Mohr
C. Nielsen
A. Trouillet
R. Touzghar
Bernard Nguene
D. Eckert Ayensa
A. Abid
Player Ratings ?
Westerlo
A. LapageD8.2
N. BassetteF8.0
I. FofanaM7.7
Standard
A. AbidF7.5
B. NsimbaF7.1
A. TrouilletM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Standard
Standard rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Standard a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Standard stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Standard slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Standard stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Standard stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Standard have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Westerlo sit at the opposite end of the scale having lost three times and drawn twice in their home sample over the same period. Westerlo have found the net in all five of their home matches recently, yet they have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical stretch. Standard rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Standard won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Westerlo's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Standard a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Westerlo losing run
50%
Standard yellow cards after 75'
2
Westerlo points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Westerlo
Westerlo's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Westerlo win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Westerlo win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.7% → 37.4%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.3%
+0.3 pts
Standard win
Latest market chance 36.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.3% → 36.3%
+2.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+2.5+1.250−1.25Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Westerlo
Draw
Standard
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Westerlo
Standard
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
6th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
2.20
1.80
Goals/Game
2.00
2.80
Conceded/Game
1.20
15.3
Shots/Game
14.0
5.3
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Westerlo at home (3 matches) vs Standard away (4 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.00
2.33
Goals/Game
2.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
33%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Westerlo
Home form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Standard
Away form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Westerlo Wins
1
Draws
2
Standard Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
2026-05-192025-2026
Westerlo1 – 2Standard
2026-04-112025-2026
Standard1 – 2Westerlo
2026-03-222025-2026
Standard0 – 0Westerlo
2025-09-212025-2026
Westerlo0 – 2Standard
2025-05-242024-2025
Westerlo0 – 0Standard
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Westerlo
vs
Standard
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
59.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 59.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.4%→Latest 63.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Westerlo's 10 matches and 5 of Standard's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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