Albacete vs Eibar Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Carlos Belmonte
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.67
Draw
3.60
Away Win
2.63
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Albacete
Eibar
Roberto Gonzalez Bayon ⚽
3'
48'
⚽ Ander Madariaga Susaeta
Lluís Lopez 🟨
51'
66'
⚽ (OG) Lluís Lopez
Agustin Medina Delgado 🟨
73'
77'
🟨 Malcom Ares
90+4'
⚽ Pejiño (Javier Martón Ansó)
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
22
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
0
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Albacete (4-4-2)
Carlos Marín
Fran Gámez
Lluís López
Carlos Neva
Agus Medina
José Corpas
San Bartolomé
Antonio Pacheco
Víctor Valverde
Róber
Mario Soberón
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
Jon Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez
Unai Elgezabal
Anaitz Arbilla
Juan Bernat
Ander Madariaga
Aleix Garrido
Malcom Adu
Iván Gil
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Bautista
Player Ratings ?
Albacete
RóberF8.0
Fran GámezD7.2
Carlos MarínG6.9
Eibar
Jon MikelG7.7
Ander MadariagaM7.5
Anaitz ArbillaD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Eibar
Eibar rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Eibar an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Eibar slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Eibar have secured three victories from their last five away outings, whereas Albacete have managed just two wins in their corresponding home sample. Albacete have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Eibar rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Eibar won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 24 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Albacete's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Albacete's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Eibar's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Eibar.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Albacete losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Eibar
Eibar's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Eibar win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Albacete win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
36.8% → 35.9%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.7% → 27.5%
−1.2 pts
Eibar win
Latest market chance 36.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.5% → 36.6%
+2.1 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlbaceteEibar
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
2nd
8
Games Played
7
0.13
Points/Game
2.57
0.50
Goals/Game
2.14
1.75
Conceded/Game
0.86
13.1
Shots/Game
11.1
4.2
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Albacete at home (5 matches) vs Eibar away (5 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
0.80
Goals/Game
2.60
2.20
Conceded/Game
0.60
0%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Albacete
Home form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Eibar
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Albacete Wins
1
Draws
1
Eibar Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Albacete0 – 3Eibar
Eibar3 – 2Albacete
Eibar1 – 1Albacete
Albacete0 – 1Eibar
Albacete2 – 1Eibar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Albacetevs
Eibar
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.4%→Latest 53.4%+4.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 57.0%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Albacete's 10 matches and 3 of Eibar's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?