Burgos vs Sociedad B Head to Head, Prediction
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
3.13
Away Win
4.24
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Burgos
Sociedad B
C. Sanchez ⚽ (P)
13'
30'
🟨 Lander Astiazaran
38'
⚽ G. Carrera (D. Diaz)
Sergio González 🟨
55'
A. Fores ⚽
57'
63'
⚽ G. Gorosabel
84'
🟨 Jon Balda
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Burgos (4-4-2)
A. Cantero
A. Dadie Izagirre
S. Gonzalez
G. Sierra
I. Vilarrasa
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
J. Gragera
P. Galdames
J. Llabres
C. Sanchez
A. Fores
Sociedad B (4-2-3-1)
A. Fraga
J. Garro
J. Balda
K. Kita
U. Agote
I. Aguirre
A. Lebarbier
D. Diaz
G. Gorosabel
L. Astiazaran
G. Carrera
Player Ratings ?
Burgos
Pablo GaldamesM7.2
Curro SánchezF7.2
Álex ForésF7.2
Sociedad B
Gorka Carrera ZarranzF7.2
Tomy CarbonellM6.9
Jon BaldaD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Burgos
Burgos rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Burgos a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Burgos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Burgos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Burgos stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Burgos
Burgos's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Burgos win as less likely than it did 1 day ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Burgos win
Latest market chance 51.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
54.8% → 51.6%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.1% → 27.9%
+0.8 pts
Sociedad B win
Latest market chance 20.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
18.1% → 20.4%
+2.3 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BurgosSociedad B
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
17th
2
Games Played
2
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
9.8
Shots/Game
10.8
2.9
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Burgos at home (4 matches) vs Sociedad B away (5 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
1.40
2.25
Goals/Game
1.80
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.00
75%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Burgos
Home form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sociedad B
Away form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Burgos Wins
2
Draws
2
Sociedad B Wins
0
Avg Goals
0.5
Sociedad B0 – 0Burgos
Burgos1 – 0Sociedad B
Burgos0 – 0Sociedad B
Sociedad B0 – 1Burgos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Burgosvs
Sociedad B
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.7%→Latest 44.1%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.7%→Latest 47.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Burgos's 10 matches and 8 of Sociedad B's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?