Cadiz vs Las Palmas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
JP Financial Estadio
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.82
Draw
3.37
Away Win
2.59
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Cadiz
Las Palmas
Marc-Olivier Doué 🟨
30'
60'
⚽ Enrique Clemente
Álvaro García Pascual 🟨
72'
Damián Rodríguez Sousa 🟨
83'
Antonio Cordero 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
7
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
9
14
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
Jokin Ezkieta
J. Diaz Peregrina
B. Kovačević
Javi Castro
Cristian Gutiérrez
M. Doué
Damián Rodríguez
Borja Vazquez
Urko Izeta
Javi Ontiveros
Álvaro García
Las Palmas (4-4-2)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Juan Herzog
G. Bonfanti
Enrique Clemente
T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice
Iñaki González Zambrano
Iván Jaime
Jesé
Manu Fuster
Player Ratings ?
Cadiz
Jokin EzkietaG7.3
Damián RodríguezM7.0
J. Diaz PeregrinaD7.0
Las Palmas
Enrique ClementeD7.9
Manu FusterF7.2
Juan HerzogD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Las Palmas
Las Palmas rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Las Palmas a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Las Palmas have shown resilience on the road with three wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Cadiz have struggled at home with just one victory in that same span. Cadiz have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that period. Las Palmas rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Las Palmas won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 27 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cadiz's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Las Palmas a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Las Palmas
Las Palmas's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Las Palmas win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
37.4% → 34.1%
−3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 28.7%
±0.0 pts
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 37.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.9% → 37.3%
+3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cadiz
Draw
Las Palmas
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CadizLas Palmas
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
11th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
1.75
1.25
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.2
Shots/Game
10.6
3.9
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Cadiz at home (6 matches) vs Las Palmas away (4 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.50
1.67
Goals/Game
1.75
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cadiz
Home form
L
L
W
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Las Palmas
Away form
W
W
D
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cadiz Wins
1
Draws
2
Las Palmas Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Cadiz1 – 2Las Palmas
Las Palmas1 – 0Cadiz
Cadiz0 – 0Las Palmas
Las Palmas1 – 1Cadiz
Las Palmas1 – 2Cadiz
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cadizvs
Las Palmas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.4%→Latest 46.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.2%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Cadiz's 10 matches and 6 of Las Palmas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?