Castellon vs Albacete Head to Head, Prediction
Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.16
Away Win
5.73
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Castellon
Albacete
Íñigo Córdoba 🟨
45+3'
Ousmane Camara (Pablo Santiago) ⚽
56'
Israel Suero Fernández (Ousmane Camara) ⚽
62'
90+2'
🟨 Fran Gámez
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
25
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
3
5
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Castellon (3-4-2-1)
R. Matthys
J. Mellot
A. Jimenez
A. Sienra
Juanjo Nieto
Alvaro
Barri
I. Cordoba
P. Santiago
F. Castillo
O. Camara
Albacete (4-2-3-1)
D. Marino
F. Gamez
J. Moreno
L. Lopez
C. Neva
S. Ortuno
J. Villar
Lorenzo
Agus Medina
J. Corpas
M. Soberon
Player Ratings ?
Castellon
Ousmane CamaraF8.4
Israel SueroM8.2
F. CastilloF7.6
Albacete
Diego MariñoG6.7
Antonio PachecoM6.7
A. AlbarracínF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Castellon edge recent form, attack and defence, Albacete edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Castellon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Castellon stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Castellon stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Albacete stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Castellon win
Latest market chance 59.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.7% → 59.4%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.5% → 22.9%
−0.6 pts
Albacete win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.8% → 17.6%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Castellon
Draw
Albacete
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CastellonAlbacete
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
21st
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.9
Shots/Game
13.1
5.1
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Castellon at home (4 matches) vs Albacete away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.20
2.00
Goals/Game
0.40
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.80
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Castellon
Home form
L
D
W
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Albacete
Away form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Castellon Wins
1
Draws
3
Albacete Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Albacete1 – 1Castellon
Castellon0 – 1Albacete
Castellon2 – 2Albacete
Albacete0 – 0Castellon
Albacete0 – 1Castellon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Castellonvs
Albacete
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 55.1%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Castellon's 10 matches and 7 of Albacete's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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