Cordoba vs Almeria Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.59
Away Win
2.83
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Cordoba
Almeria
37'
🟨 Marcos Luna
Diego Percan 🟨
45'
Egoitz Muñoz 🟨
49'
52'
⚽ Brian Cipenga (Léo Baptistão)
Youssouf Diarra 🟨
60'
61'
🟨 Rodrigo Ely
70'
⚽ Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo (Javier Muñoz Jiménez)
83'
🟨 Álex Muñoz
83'
🟨 Federico Bonini
Victor Sánchez Morales 🟨
83'
90'
🟨 Quim junyent
90+5'
🟥 Quim junyent
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
21
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Goal
2
9
Corner Kicks
0
13
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
4
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Guilherme Fernandes
Egoitz Muñoz
Álex Martín
Rubén Alves
Dani Tasende
Y. Diarra
Isma Ruiz
Eder García
Cristian Carracedo
Percan
Diego Bri
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Andrés Fernández
Marcos Luna
Rodrigo Ely
F. Bonini
Leonardo Lelo
S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz
Léo Baptistão
Quim Junyent
B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente
Player Ratings ?
Cordoba
Cristian CarracedoF7.2
Kevin VillodresF7.2
Rubén AlvesD6.7
Almeria
Andrés FernándezG8.0
ThalysF7.4
B. CipengaM7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Almeria edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Almeria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Almeria arrive at this fixture having recorded just two draws and three defeats in their last five outings away from home, while Cordoba have secured two victories and suffered two losses during their corresponding run of five matches at home. Cordoba have found the net in every one of their last five home games, though they have kept just a single clean sheet across that same span. Almeria rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Almeria won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Cordoba's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Almeria
Almeria's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Almeria win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Cordoba remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cordoba win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
38.5% → 39.3%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.8%
+0.5 pts
Almeria win
Latest market chance 33.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
35.2% → 33.9%
−1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cordoba
Draw
Almeria
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CordobaAlmeria

Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
13th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.50
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
15.6
Shots/Game
13.5
4.4
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Cordoba at home (3 matches) vs Almeria away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.50
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Cordoba
Home form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Almeria
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cordoba Wins
0
Draws
1
Almeria Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.2
Almeria2 – 1Cordoba
Cordoba1 – 1Almeria
Cordoba0 – 3Almeria
Almeria4 – 0Cordoba
Almeria3 – 1Cordoba
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cordobavs
Almeria

Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 60.0%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.3%→Latest 63.4%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Cordoba's 10 matches and 6 of Almeria's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?