Eibar vs Granada Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.07
Draw
3.35
Away Win
3.72
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Eibar
Granada
Iván Gil (Jon Bautista) ⚽
8'
19'
🟨 Diego Varela Pampín
jon guruzeta 🟨
41'
Malcom Ares (jon guruzeta) ⚽
44'
Unai Elgezabal Udondo 🟨
45+4'
jon guruzeta (Alvaro Rodriguez) ⚽
58'
63'
🟨 Sergio Rodelas Pintor
Jair Amador 🟥
76'
Javier Martón Ansó 🟨
83'
85'
🟨 Manuel Lama Maroto
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
11
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
J. Magunagoitia
A. Rodriguez
U. Elgezabal
A. Arbilla
J. Bernat
A. Garrido
A. Madariaga
A. Ares
I. Gil
J. Guruzeta
J. Bautista
Granada (4-3-3)
R. Lizoain
S. Lopez
M. Lama
B. Dembele
D. Varela Pampin
G. Gumbau
R. Alcaraz
P. Aleman
O. M. Chukwuemeka
C. Onouha
J. M. Arnaiz
Player Ratings ?
Eibar
Jon GuruzetaM8.7
Malcom AresM8.2
Iván GilM7.7
Granada
Raúl LizoainG7.7
Gerard GumbauM6.9
Sergio LópezD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eibar edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Eibar
Eibar's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Eibar win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eibar win
Latest market chance 46.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
48.5% → 46.6%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.5%
+0.6 pts
Granada win
Latest market chance 24.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.6% → 24.9%
+1.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+2+10−1Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eibar
Draw
Granada
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Eibar
Granada
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
3rd
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
2.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.33
11.1
Shots/Game
17.1
5.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Eibar at home (4 matches) vs Granada away (5 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.40
2.00
Goals/Game
1.60
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.80
75%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eibar
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Granada
Away form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eibar Wins
2
Draws
3
Granada Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.8
2026-01-192025-2026
Granada0 – 0Eibar
2025-08-222025-2026
Eibar3 – 0Granada
2025-05-122024-2025
Granada0 – 2Eibar
2024-12-212024-2025
Eibar1 – 1Granada
2023-04-302022-2023
Granada1 – 1Eibar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eibar
vs
Granada
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
67.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
42.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
23.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.4%→Latest 42.6%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.6%→Latest 47.4%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Eibar's 10 matches and 7 of Granada's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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