Girona vs Albacete Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadi Montilivi
Fri 25 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.48
Away Win
5.60
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Girona
Albacete
Abel Ruíz (Javier Boñar) ⚽
6'
Donny van de Beek (Carles Pérez) ⚽
43'
52'
🟨 Victor Valverde da Silva
53'
🟨 Sergio Ortuno Diaz
67'
🟨 Fran Gámez
80'
🟨 Higinio Marín
90+1'
🟥 Sergio Ortuno Diaz
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
18
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Girona (4-2-3-1)
P. Gazzaniga
Javier Boñar
David López
Alejandro Francés
Álex Moreno
Iván Morante
I. Gonzalez
Carles Pérez
D. van de Beek
Javier Sarasa
Abel Ruiz
Albacete (4-4-2)
Carlos Marín
Fran Gámez
Lluís López
Carlos Neva
Agus Medina
José Corpas
Antonio Pacheco
Javi Villar
Víctor Valverde
Mario Soberón
Alex Rubio
Player Ratings ?
Girona
D. van de BeekM8.2
Abel RuizF8.2
P. GazzanigaG8.1
Albacete
Lluís LópezD7.2
Carlos NevaD6.8
Agus MedinaD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Girona
Girona rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Girona a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Albacete have recorded just one win and a draw from their last five away outings, while Girona have secured two victories in their most recent five home fixtures. Girona have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept just a single clean sheet during that same span. Girona rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 4-day comparison window, Girona's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Albacete's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Girona a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Girona
Girona's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Girona win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Girona win
Latest market chance 61.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
62.6% → 61.8%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.0% → 21.5%
+0.5 pts
Albacete win
Latest market chance 16.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.4% → 16.7%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Girona
Draw
Albacete
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GironaAlbacete
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
21st
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
0.17
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
15.1
Shots/Game
13.1
5.1
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Girona at home (6 matches) vs Albacete away (5 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.20
1.83
Goals/Game
0.40
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.80
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Girona
Home form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Albacete
Away form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Girona Wins
3
Draws
1
Albacete Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Girona2 – 1Albacete
Albacete0 – 2Girona
Girona1 – 1Albacete
Albacete1 – 0Girona
Albacete0 – 3Girona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gironavs
Albacete
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 59.9%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 56.0%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Girona's 10 matches and 4 of Albacete's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?