Las Palmas vs Burgos Head to Head | La Liga 2

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 2

Match Events

Las Palmas

Burgos

Manu Fuster 🟨

29'

Enzo Loiodice 🟨

34'

Jesé Rodríguez (Manu Fuster) ⚽

37'

56'

🟨 José Gragera

58'

⚽ Álex Forés (Jon Karrikaburu)

73'

🟨 Oier Luengo Redondo

87'

🟨 Grego Sierra

90+4'

⚽ David Gonzalez (Javier Llabrés Exposito)

Match Statistics

63%

Ball Possession

37%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Las Palmas (4-2-3-1)

José Caro

Valentín Pezzolesi

Juan Herzog

G. Bonfanti

E. Loiodice

Kirian Rodríguez

Iñaki González Zambrano

T. Miyashiro

Manu Fuster

Iván Jaime

Jesé

Burgos (4-4-2)

Ander Cantero

Alberto Dadie

Oier Luengo

Grego

Brais Martínez

David González

Marcelo Expósito

Unai Vencedor

Javi Llabrés

Curro Sánchez

Jon Karrikaburu

Player Ratings

Las Palmas

JeséF7.5

Manu FusterM6.9

Iván JaimeM6.8

Burgos

Álex ForésF8.1

David GonzálezM7.6

Javi LlabrésM7.4

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Las Palmas edge recent form and attack, Burgos edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Las Palmas slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Las Palmas stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Burgos stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Burgos stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Burgos have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Las Palmas are equally impressive at home with two victories in that same span. The Canaries have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only managed a single clean sheet during that period. Las Palmas rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Burgos rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 7 February 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 0.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Las Palmas's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Burgos's implied win probability has risen by 0.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from the draw

the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Las Palmas remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Las Palmas win

Latest market chance 46.5%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

45.3% → 46.5%

+1.2 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 30.0%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

31.3% → 30.0%

−1.3 pts

Burgos win

Latest market chance 23.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.4% → 23.5%

+0.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Las Palmas

Draw

Burgos

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Las Palmas

Burgos

Season Profile

This season

5th

League Position

10th

Games Played

2.00

Points/Game

1.60

1.40

Goals/Game

1.60

1.20

Conceded/Game

1.20

10.6

Shots/Game

9.8

3.9

Shots on Target

2.9

Home vs Away Context

Las Palmas at home (4 matches) vs Burgos away (5 matches)

1.25

Points/Game

0.80

1.25

Goals/Game

0.80

1.25

Conceded/Game

1.20

25%

Win Rate

20%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Las Palmas

Home form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home

3 of these matches from last season.

1.0

Goals scored
per match

0.8

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Burgos

Away form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

0.6

Goals scored
per match

0.2

Goals conceded
per match

2/5

Scored in
last 5

4/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Las Palmas Wins

Draws

Burgos Wins

Avg Goals

0.8

2026-02-072025-2026

Las Palmas0 – 0Burgos

2025-09-072025-2026

Burgos0 – 0Las Palmas

2023-02-062022-2023

Burgos0 – 0Las Palmas

2022-11-012022-2023

Las Palmas0 – 2Burgos

2022-02-132021-2022

Las Palmas0 – 2Burgos

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Las Palmas

Burgos

Recent Scoring Profile

1.30

Goals scored / game

1.20

1.10

Goals conceded / game

0.60

4/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

3/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

3/10

2/10

Failed to Score

4/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

68.1%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

43.7%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

24.0%

BTTSBoth teams score

48.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 45.2%→Latest 43.8%−1.4 pts

Slight move away from 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 50.4%→Latest 49.0%−1.4 pts

Slight move away from both teams scoring

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

5 of Las Palmas's 10 matches and 5 of Burgos's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Las Palmas vs Burgos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis